Sunday 30 August 2020

Latest Chinese Virus stats since 14/08 - 14 days ago

Hi,
These are the latest C Virus stats since our last advice 7 days ago. The source is www.worldometres.com but the numbers are only as good as the numbers advised by various governments. So, therefore a big word of caution. Comparative figures relate to 14/08/20 (2 weeks ago).

MUNDO - world
Total cases 24,789,603 (21,168,111) - up 3,621,492 or 17.1%
Deaths 838,468 - 3.4% (759,329 - 3.6%) - up 79,139 or 10.4%
Recovered 17,201,592 - 69.4% (13,984,843 - 66.1% ) - up 3,216,749 or 23.0%
Therefore active cases 6,749,543 - 27.2% (6,425,939 - 30.3%) - up 323,604 or 5.0%
Of the total population of 7,887,476,611 (7,804,918,919) the percentage of active cases is 0.086% (0.082%) of the total world population.

COLOMBIA
Total cases 581,965 (433,805) - up 148,160 or 34.2%
Deaths 18,469 - 3.2% (14,145 - 3.3%) - up 4,324 or 30.6%
Recovered 417,703 - 71.8% (250,494 - 57.7%) - up 167,209 or 66.8%
Therefore active cases 145,793 - 25.1% (169,166 - 39.0%) - down 23,373 or 13.8%. Of the total population of 50.967,362 (50,946,629) the percentage of active cases is 0.286% (0.332%) of the total population.
Selected areas in Colombia- no previous comparative figures:
CARTAGENA
Total cases 20,086
Deaths 515 - 2.6%
Recovered 18,034 - 89.7%
Therefore active cases 1,547 - 7.7%
ANTIOQUIA PROVINCE - of which Medellin is the capital.
Total cases 76,292
Deaths 1,571 - 2.1%
Recovered 55,960 - 73.4%
Therefore active cases 18,761 - 24.6%

NUEVA ZELANDA - New Zealand
Total cases 1,714 (1,602) - up 112 or 7.0%
Deaths 22 - 1.3% (22- 1.4%) - no change
Recovered 1,561 - 91.1% (1,531 - 95.6%) - up 30 or 2.0%
Therefore active cases 131 - 7.6% (49 - 3.0%) up 82 or 167.4%. Of the total population of 5,002,100 (no apparent change!!) the percentage of active cases is 0.0026% (0.001%) of the total population.

AUSTRALIA
Total cases 25,448 (23,035) - up 2,413 or 10.5%
Deaths 583 - 2.3% (370 - 1.7%)- up 213 or 57.6%
Recovered - 20,633 - 81.1% (13,634 - 59.2%) - up 6,999 or 51.3%
Therefore active cases 4,232 - 16.6% (9,022-39.2%) - down 4,790 or 53.1%. Of the total population of 25,545,834 (25,536,945) the percentage of active cases is 0.017% (0.04%) of the total population.

ESTADOS UNIDOS - United States
Total cases  6,067,600 (5,429,115) - up 638,485 or 11.8%  
 Deaths 185,272 - 3.1% (170,781 - 3.2%) - up 14,491 or 8.5%
Recovered 3,352,139 - 55.3% (2,844,525 - 52.4%) - up 507,614  or 17.9%
Therefore active cases 2,530,189 - 41.7% (2,413,829 - 44.6%) - up 116,360 or 4.8%. Of the total population of 331,309,290 (331,235,184) the percentage of active cases is 0.764% (0.729%) of the total population.

And finally some comments - including a few political ones. We can't help ourselves!!!!!!!!!
1) The "world" figures must be estimates as the increase in world population is estimated at 81 million per year - 1,557,692 per week. But the increases in cases must be concerning overall.

2) Colombia - it is pleasing to see that the ratio of "active" cases to total cases is coming down substantially from 39.0% 2 weeks ago to 25.1% last Friday. Also as a percentage of the total population the ratio of "active" cases over the same period  has declined from 0.332% to 0.286%.
However, one must add a rider to these figures. Judging by our observations over the past months, we cannot have much confidence in any figures produced by this inept and hopelessly corrupt government. However, maybe there's a discernible trend - we hope so. Colombia is from the 1st. September coming down from most of the lockdown restrictions which have been in place since mid March - 5 and a half months. There are still personal restrictions such as mask wearing and social distancing, but it's a very welcome development. Let's hope that not too much damage has been done to the economy and that which has been done can be repaired.
We have also supplied figures for the City of Cartagena on the Caribbean Coast and for the province of Antioquia of which Medellin is the capital. Cartagena is a very historic city, having been established by the Spanish in the 1500's. These figures provide an interesting contrast compared with the whole of Colombia.
We must also refer to several massacres which have taken place in Colombia over the past 14 days or so. The military coined the term "collective homicides" because it sounds better than massacres. And Duque has seized on that term to try to induce overall acceptance of disgraceful and murderous acts which have no place in any country which imagines itself to be in any way civilised. We are sure that the vast majority of Colombians are repulsed and horrified by these barbaric acts.  Over 40 victims in mostly remote areas including several 14-15 yr old children. Reports suggest that these children were also tortured before being murdered. Seems that the reasons are mostly political and related to the continuation of massacres which have been gaining ground ever since the Duque Government took power in 2018, and virtually scrapped the UN brokered Peace Agreement with the FARC. The Colombian Government signed the Peace Agreement in 2016, but Duque has since virtually torn it up. The victims are in the main people who are land activists engaged in righting past land injustices.     

3) New Zealand - active cases have increased by 167%, but that's only a number of 82 infections. NZ partially locked down again the biggest city of Auckland, but there are many debates going on as to whether these draconian lockdowns really achieve much, considering the economic destruction that has occurred. NZ has tried the "elimination" method of dealing with the Chinese Virus, but after about 100 days of apparently being free of community transmission and everyone slapping themselves on the back, it has come back and the health people cannot explain it. "Elimination" has failed. It seems to us that NZ, and the whole world, needs to learn to live with this damned virus and develop sensible methods that protect people as much as possible, while at the same time allowing commercial activity, which is vital for rescuing societies from a dead end of poverty.  
We believe that from what we've heard that NZ has inexplicably signed the Belt and Road Initiative with Communist China. Can't get a straight answer out of any of the political parties - why the secrecy??  Why would anyone in their right mind sign anything with a murderous regime like the CCP who deliberately unleashed a deadly virus upon the world which has so far killed as far as we can see, 838,468 people. THAT is a massacre, notwithstanding the economic losses all around the world. CHINA MUST PAY - NOT BE TREATED AS A VALUED TRADING PARTNER. 

4) Australia - the total cases, deaths and recovered figures are all up with the result that active cases are DOWN. The figures would have been much better had it not been for that socialist clown/fool of a Victorian Premier, who couldn't manage a p---up in a brewery!! Melbourne descended into being a basket case, but seems to be turning the corner thank goodness.
The other thing is that this same Premier also signed the Belt and Road Initiative with the Communist Party of China on behalf of the State of Victoria and in secrecy without seeking any approval from the Federal Government. They are amending the relevant legislation to force the cancellation of the agreement as it does not fit with Australian foreign policy. These international agreements should only ever be negotiated and entered into by the Federal Government in Canberra. Australia has far more sense than NZ in these things!!

5) United States - the virus stats do not look great except for the fact that recovered cases are showing an increase of just over half a million or almost 18%. Active cases are up by just over 100,000 in spite of being down by approx. 3% against the latest total cases figure. 
There have been many reports of inaccurate recording of "cases" as a result of their very intensive and extensive testing regime. There was for instance a case of a woman in Florida whose tests did not work for some reason, but then her total "tests" (15!) were added to the national total. How many times has this happened overall? This type of inaccurate recording is probably a major factor with inaccurate reporting of statistics. Again, it is difficult to place total reliance on the figures.
From the 17th. to the 20th. August we endured 4 nights of a lacklustre Democrat National Convention during which all the speakers seemed to be able to do was criticise President Trump with hissy fits of vicious lying and totally dishonest misrepresentation of just about every subject that was commented on. Without mentioning the crooked backgrounds of both the presidential and vice-presidential candidates, all we can say is that with their extreme left wing policies they would destroy America, which in fact seems to be their aim with the Democrat supported Antifa arsonist riots in Portland, Seattle, Chicago, Minneapolis, NewYork, Oshkosh, Milwaukee, Kenosha, Washington D.C., Atlanta, Baltimore, St. Louis and many more. These riots have also resulted in the murder of countless innocent people, including the murder of several children - one shot as she sat in the back seat of her parent's car and another 12 month old shot and killed as he sat in his pushchair. Many others as well. That's the left wing of the Democrat Party for you.
And why is Biden staying holed up in his basement, whereas Trump is out and about meeting and talking to people? Almost certainly the reason is that the Democrats are scared witless that if Biden gets too much, or any, outside exposure, he will fatally damage the Democrat campaign - such as it is! Great candidate for President of the United States!!
But last week the Republican National Convention was a total breath of fresh air. Where the Democrats were negative, the Republicans and Trump were remorselessly positive. The diverse numbers of people who Trump has directly helped told their stories and in many cases absolutely and emotionally from the heart. The cases where his policies have helped various groups were legion and many black leaders, who in most cases would never in the past have thought of voting Republican, now say they will never vote Democrat again. The Democrats have historically relied on the black vote, but that support has largely evaporated.
Nothing is ever absolutely certain in politics, but right now we predict a Trump win by a substantial margin. The Democrat encouraged and organised riots have blown up in the Democrats' faces. And now, having realised their fatal mistake, they are trying to blame Trump for the riots that they fomented, funded and encouraged. The Democrats will NEVER stop their crooked efforts to undermine Trump, because they have no legitimate alternative. 
And Trump will continue his China policies to prevent them from carrying on their policies of larceny of US intellectual property and imbalance of trade to the tune of at least 500 billion dollars per annum. All allowed mainly by the Obama/Biden cartel and earlier by other administrations over the last 30 years or so. Manufacturing is coming back to the USA and also to friendly countries like Colombia who are more than capable of filling the void.

Finally we must mention the outrageous campaign against Hydroxychloroquinne which has been used quite safely as a treatment for Malaria for 70 years. It has been recommended by many doctors who used it in the early stages of the C Virus very successfully as an effective therapeutic drug against the Chinese Virus, provided its use was started in the early stages of the virus's onset. Anyway, we have obtained some here in Medellin, so at least we could use it as a first defence. In spite of the rabid world-wide efforts on the part of the FDA and others to destroy the reputations of those who used it with impressive success in the early stages of the spread of the virus. And this includes banning the 70 year old drug in many countries. Disgraceful - and financially driven.
We could go on and on but all we'll say now is:

TRUMP  2020!!!!
Cheers from the City of Eternal Spring,
Jim and Jean
 








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