Fwd: Colombia Reports

---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: James Donald <tiare.taporo3@gmail.com>
Date: Wed, May 20, 2020, 14:11
Subject: Fwd: Colombia Reports
To: Alec Donald <adonald@abdonaldltd.co.nz>

Hi to all, 

We thought you would be interested in this latest advice from Medellinguru.

One cannot unfortunately ignore the dates, but the data needs to be treated with something of a grain of salt because the government data is in many cases simply educated or straight-out ignorant guesswork. Nothing here is certain.

As regards the over 70's nonsense, we do not pay any attention at all. We were sailing a number of times in the Andaman Sea between Malaysia and Thailand after we had turned 70 - just the two of us. And negotiating difficult tidal entrances to marinas and anchorages as well as dealing with mini typhoons together with damaging lightning which usually occur at 2 in the morning!!!

Just this morning Jim took the car to a workshop in Belen which is recommended by another Mercedes enthusiast to have the steering rack re-conditioned. It will be ready on Friday for a total cost of 800,000 pesos, compared with 12 million quoted by the Mercedes dealership for a complete new unit from Germany! Once again we are indebted to Clara for the introduction. Fernando who owns a 1982 280S, accompanied Jim and together we took a taxi back home for COP 14,000 - less than NZD7.

The other thing is that this whole Chinese Virus thing is being done to death by Socialists who see it as a God-given opportunity to destroy economic activity and keep most of the gullible population in a state of permanent fear. The NZ Prime Minister, Jacinda Ardern, is a good example where the majority of people who cannot think for themselves are simply in love with a toothy grin!!! Pathetic.

You see it in the US with conflict in the lockdown approach between red and blue states, together with the opportunity as Socialists see it, to introduce their left wing wish lists and never mind the economic plight of small business owners. And in NZ, legislation to give the Police new sweeping powers was rushed through Parliament under urgency. This included among other things, other legislation which has nothing to do with the Chinese Virus, such as amendments to abortion legislation, giving effect to a change which now makes it much easier to terminate a pregnancy at even full term. Another name for this is Infanticide.

Another thing that we must mention is the lethal decisions by the Governors of New York, New Jersey, and some other Socialist states to insist that rest homes re-admit elderly patients already infected with the C Virus. This of course unleashed a wave of infection which in the case of NY alone, resulted in the entirely preventable deaths of at least 5,000 seniors. And all that Governor Cuomo of NY would say was that they would have died anyway! He and the other lunatic, murderous governors should be prosecuted for mass murder.

We can only hope that in NZ, a near certain change in the leadership of the opposition party later this week will make it more likely that the incumbent government of St. Jacinda will be defeated and thrown out in September.

In the meantime we gnash our teeth every time we hear of some new Democrat/Socialist lie or outrage and feel even more confident that President Trump and the Republican Party will prevail on November 3rd. Then China will really get their comeuppance. This is the most important election in our lifetimes, because if the above scenario does not happen, we might as well kiss it all goodbye.

On that happy note we wish everyone continued good health and all best wishes from us in Medellin......lotsaluv

Jim and Jean

 

---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: Medellin Guru <info@medellinguru.com>
Date: Wed, May 20, 2020, 12:24
Subject: RE: Colombia Reports
To: James Donald <tiare.taporo3@gmail.com>

Update on quarantine - extended by 1 week and no international flights for a while - https://medellinguru.com/colombia-quarantine/

-----Original message-----
From: Medellin Guru
Sent: Sunday, May 17 2020, 5:44 pm
To: James Donald
Subject: RE: Colombia Reports

Sorry, no advance information about lifting the quarantine.  We will likely find out next week.  President Duque is supposed to be meeting next week about opening up air travel. But I suspect no international.

 

Best regards,

 

Jeff

Founder Medellin Guru

-----Original message-----
From: James Donald
Sent: Sunday, May 17 2020, 5:23 pm
To: Medellin Guru
Subject: Re: Colombia Reports
 

Your figures are more or less the same - so that's re-assuring at least!!

Do you have any advance information as to what will happen with lockdown lifting on May 26th.?

We find the whole situation somewhat ludicrous as we are over 70 and yet need to be buying food and going to pharmacies etc.

It may all become academic if China goes to war with the rest of the world!!

Cheers Jeff

Jim Donald

 

On Sun, May 17, 2020, 16:55 Medellin Guru <info@medellinguru.com> wrote:

Hi Jame, 

 

IMHO, Colombia Reports can't do proper research.

 

I have the actual data from INS, which was used to update this last night - https://medellinguru.com/coronavirus-in-colombia/

 

Cali yesterday on May 16 actually had 1,343 cases and a week ago on May 9 Cali had 1,058 cases.

 

And Cartagena yesterday on May 16 had 1,197 cases and a week ago on May 9 Cartagena had 539 cases, so more than doubled.

 

Colombia Reports claims in their article that their data was from Saturday but it was actually from Friday - they probably got data form this article I published yesterday with data from May 15 - https://medellinguru.com/increase-in-coronavirus-cases/

 

See here is you want to know about hospitalization rates in cities in Colombia due to coronavirus - https://medellinguru.com/coronavirus-hospitalization/

 

FYI, I am a research analyst.

 

Best regards,

 

Jeff

Founder Medellin Guru.

-----Original message-----
From: James Donald
Sent: Sunday, May 17 2020, 2:45 pm
To: Medellin Guru
Subject:
 

Hi Jeff

I know you are not a fan of Colombiareports, but I'd like to draw your attention to an article dated today concerning Cali and Cartagena.

It states that these cities are following Leticia and Tumaco in that their health systems are collapsing due to past corruption and mismanagement which has been going on for years.

Cali's Chinese Virus infection rate has increased from 1076 last week to 1276 now. 70 people have died in the city since the C Virus was confirmed in Colombia on March 6th. 

And in Cartegena, one of Colombia's most corrupt cities - and that's saying something!!! - there were 1070 infections yesterday which is double that of the previous week. And apparently many of the city's hospitals are in ruins having never been finished due to past extreme corruption.

The increasingly uncontrollable situation in the country appears to have woken up President Ivan Duque who yesterday for the first time refused to push economic reactivation.

The President said nothing about humanitarian aid for those affected by the lockdown which he declared on March 25th. or extra measures to support healthcare.

At least Colombia has joined a world-wide consortium of 62 countries to insist that China allows a full on the ground investigation into the cause of the C Virus, with a view to seeking reparations. China has already banned beef imports from 4 major Australian abbatoirs and slapped a 75% tariff on Australian barley in retaliation for Australia pursuing the enquiry line so it will be interesting to see what they do about Colombia!!! They also said that if the US cancelled the trade agreement recently signed, they would invade Taiwan. We live in uncertain and difficult times.

If you could please comment on the situations in Cali and Cartegena it would be appreciated - also bearing in mind that neither of these places are Medellin, but they could well have a spillover effect.

Thanks Jeff

Jim Donald

Retribution for China

We are encouraged to see in good old Granny NZ Herald no less than 2 articles on the subject of China's conduct pre and post Chinese Virus.

In one there is a report that now 62 countries including all remaining EU members, NZ, Australia, Colombia, the UK and US and many more have joined together in demanding that China accepts an in-depth inquiry into their actions from the inception of the virus late last year until when they deliberately facilitated the spread of the virus world-wide by encouraging travel from Hunan to Italy and the rest of Europe, and through the WHO, lied about the extreme contagiousness and spread of the virus. Thank goodness that President Trump closed the US borders to China in late Jan. If he had not done that, the death toll would have been much higher.

China has already imposed severe punitive  trade consequences on Australia for daring to take that approach; it remains to be seen how they treat NZ and Colombia, etc. and whether they accept an inquiry at all. Highly unlikely we would say which then leaves the door open for debt repudiation and asset seizure.

In the other there has already been a landmark study which has found that the virus did not come from the Wuhan wild life market and concluded that the source was almost certainly a laboratory. The ability for human to human transmission was already built in which at that stage they certainly did not disclose.

You can form your own opinions about China's malign intent and culpability. 

And further disquieting news that China has threatened to invade Taiwan unless the US pulls back together with the fact that the US is deploying long range cruise missiles in the international waters of the South China Sea surrounding the islands where China has established illegal military bases. These islands have been stolen from Vietnam, Malaysia, the Philippines, and Indonesia.

These are not the actions of a remorseful actor (China); rather it indicates that China remains belligerent and completely unwilling to allow any examination of their actions. 

They must be stopped before they have the chance to do it again.

Cheers from us in Medellin...............

Jim and Jean

Fwd: [New post] Are Medellín and Antioquia Winning the Coronavirus Battle?

Hi,

This is the latest advice from Medellinguru on the latest news concerning the Chinese Virus in Medellin and the province of Antioquia - of which Medellin is the capital. The Aburra Valley is the one in which Medellin is situated.

Thought you might be interested, but the figures need to be taken with several grains of salt as they are official Colombian Government stats.and are not 100% reliable - to put it mildly. For example, the cases cited in Leticia and Villavicencio are likely prisoners and gaolers from 2 large prisons in those areas. We have read that THE TOTAL of Colombia's prisons are designed to hold a maximum of 80,000 prisoners, whereas they are currently bursting at the seams with 120,000. Not good if the virus gets going in those overcrowded and unhygienic conditions. It probably already has.

This is one of many situations which the C Virus has laid bare and which owe their present parlous states to past fraud and corruption at high levels. So, we just have to use commonsense in our day to day lives and not take unnecessary risks. The current lockdown is due to end at midnight on Sunday the 10th., but even at this late stage we have no indication of how or whether things will change. The President (Duque) cannot make unilateral decisions - which is probably a good thing - but from all accounts he has formed an unofficial coalition with the Bogota Mayor who keeps him in check. But Bogota apparently has the highest number of C Virus cases by far, so the President's desire to ease the lockdown will be restricted.  Similar in many ways to what is happening in the US with Governors of "Blue States" taking an overly cautious approach and it seems completely overlooking the economic damage.

Jean's health is much better, but she still has digestive issues - although at much reduced levels. So, that's all good. There was an article earlier today which essentially stated that you should not get ill right now in Colombia because the hospitals are all virtually commandeered for the C Virus and they are all losing money hand over fist because they are not allowed to allocate resources to other than the C Virus. Some are likely to become bankrupt as a result. There are empty beds everywhere apparently.

So, on that cheerful note, we shall leave you with as much information as we have concerning the C Virus in Colombia  - and Antioquia in particular.

Lotsaluv from us in Medellin................

Jim and Jean

---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: Medellin Guru <donotreply@wordpress.com>
Date: Fri, 8 May 2020 at 15:14
Subject: [New post] Are Medellín and Antioquia Winning the Coronavirus Battle?
To: <tiare.taporo3@gmail.com>

Jeff posted: " Are Medellin and Antioquia winning the coronavirus battle? Over the past eight days an average of only four coronavirus cases per day were reported in Antioquia. Medellín and Antioquia appear to be doing a good job of containing the growth of coron" New post on Medellin Guru Are Medellín and Antioquia Winning the Coronavirus Battle? by Jeff Are Medellín and Antioquia Winning the Coronavirus Battle? Medellin Guru Are Medellin and Antioquia winning the coronavirus battle? Over the past eight days an average of only four coronavirus cases per day were reported in Antioquia. Medellín and Antioquia appear to be doing a good job of containing the growth of coronavirus in second largest city in Colombia and in the department of Antioquia in Colombia where Medellín is located. Medellín has fewer coronavirus cases than several other cities in Colombia on May 7: Bogotá – 3,599 cases Cali – 974 cases Villavicencio – 733 cases Leticia – 418 cases Cartagena – 404 cases Barranquilla – 342 cases Medellín – 297 cases Also, Antioquia has fewer coronavirus cases than in the departments of Bogotá DC, Valle de Cauca, Atlántico and Meta. Furthermore, Antioquia has been experiencing a decrease in daily coronavirus cases over the past several weeks. Coronavirus Cases in Antioquia Colombia Ministerio de Salud (Ministry of Health) reported the number of coronavirus cases in Antioquia on May 7 at 4:30 pm – a total of 460 cases with 6 deaths. The first coronavirus case in Antioquia was on March 9, 2020 and by May 7 at 4:30 pm, the number of cases had grown to 460. The following chart shows the number of new coronavirus cases in Antioquia daily over a period of over one month: New coronavirus case counts in Antioquia daily, data source: Instituto Nacional de Salud, 5/7 at 4:30 pm The peak of new coronavirus cases in Antioquia was reached on April 8 with 37 cases. However, this daily chart has ups and downs from day to day. So, to see a trend over the past month it is better to look at a rolling 7-day average of new coronavirus cases: 7-day rolling average of new daily coronavirus cases in Antioquia, data source: Instituto Nacional de Salud, 5/7 at 4:30 pm This rolling 7-day average chart shows that on average, the number of new cases started to drop in Antioquia after reaching a peak and dropped to where it has been averaging about four new cases per day. The following table shows the status of coronavirus cases in Antioquia on May 7 according to Instituto Nacional de Salud (INS): Status of coronavirus cases in Antioquia on May 7, Source: Instituto Nacional de Salud (INS), bold are municipalities in the Aburrá Valley On May 7, a total of 29 municipalities in Antioquia had coronavirus cases reported according to INS but only 19 of these municipalities still had an active case (isolated at home, in the hospital or in an ICU room). A total of 416 of cases (90 percent) in Antioquia on May 7 were located in Medellín and the Aburrá Valley. Also, in Antioquia on May 7, 232 cases were active. And only 21 cases in Antioquia were in the hospital or ICU with 20 of those in the Aburrá Valley. According to DANE, 58.4 percent of Antioquia residents are concentrated in the Aburrá Valley, which contains only about 2 percent of the department geographically. In the Aburá Valley, and average of 3,341 people live per square kilometer. The rest of Antioquia is more sparsely populated and averages only 44 people per square kilometer, which helps to explain why cases in Antioquia are mostly concentrated in the Aburrá Valley. Are Medellín and Antioquia Winning the Coronavirus Battle? The national quarantine in Colombia appears to be more effective in Medellín and Antioquia than in many other cities and regions in Colombia. Over the past eight days an average of only 4 coronavirus cases per day were reported in Antioquia. Antioquia has now been under quarantine for 50 days. Bogotá is still experiencing an increase in cases and averaged 129 cases per day in the past eight days. Also, Cali has been experiencing an increase in cases and averaged 33 cases per day in the past eight days. One differentiator is Pico y Cedula that restricts shopping in the populous Aburrá Valley based on the last digit of your ID. Bogotá doesn't use Pico y Cedula and instead uses a different scheme that is based on gender. A few other large cities in Colombia including Cali, Cartagena and Barranquilla have Pico y Cedula but reportedly started their schemes later than in the Aburrá Valley, which started using Pico y Cedula in early April. Jardín, one of over 100 municipalities in Antioquia without a single coronavirus case COVID-19 Free Municipalities in Antioquia Reportedly there are over 100 municipalities in Antioquia without a single coronavirus case. So, Antioquia appears to be successful in containing the spread of coronavirus throughout the department. Governor Aníbal Gaviria of Antioquia said that the containment of the spread of the virus in Antioquia is an asset that should be capitalized on with economic reactivation. Governor Gaviria said: We ask the National Government that Antioquia be a pilot so that in these municipalities there is a greater release, even by sub-regions, accompanied by health checkpoints and all the care and protocols so that the virus never arrives. A total of 22 health control posts have been implemented in Antioquia for the main entry routes to the sub-regions and the department, with the aim of avoiding contagion from other areas of the country or from the Aburrá Valley. However, in the case of the Aburrá Valley, Gaviria stated that the situation is more complex "due to the amount of population and the number of infections, which means the controls have to be much more rigorous, between municipalities." For this reason, the Governor emphasized that economic activation should be flexible within each municipality but very demanding at the borders of each territory. President Iván Duque announced on Tuesday that municipalities in which no positive COVID-19 cases have been detected may gradually start productive activities again, as long as the mayor sends the request to the Ministry of the Interior, accompanied by the biosafety protocol that will govern in its territory. COVID-19 Testing in Antioquia Currently according to INS there are 13 labs in Antioquia conducting COVID-19 tests with another lab awaiting approval to perform tests. INS reported a few days ago that it had done 18,450 tests in Antioquia but INS appears to have stopped publishing a breakout of tests by department. Antioquia was second in terms of COVID-19 testing in Colombia after Bogotá, which had 39,797 tests. Jericó: another pueblo in Antioquia without a single coronavirus case Medellin Guru's Coronavirus Series Medellin Guru has a series of articles about the coronavirus pandemic and the impacts in Colombia: Also, these articles are being kept up-to-date, as this is a fast-moving topic: Colombia Started to Lift the Quarantine – What Does this Mean? Coronavirus: When Will the Quarantine Be Lifted in Colombia? Colombia Quarantine: Nationwide Quarantine Starts on March 24 Coronavirus in Colombia: Myth vs Reality – Current Status Coronavirus Hospitalization in Colombia: Myth vs Realty Is Medellín and Antioquia Winning the Coronavirus Battle? Colombia Coronavirus Death Rate: What are the Chances of Dying? Coronavirus: When Will Things Return to Normal in Colombia? COVID-19 Testing in Colombia: Realty About Coronavirus Testing Life as an Expat: During Medellín's Coronavirus Quarantine Colombian Visa Process Changes: Due to Quarantine and Coronavirus Medellín Coronavirus Closures – What is Closed in Medellín? Pico y Cedula: A Restriction for Grocery Shopping in the Aburrá Valley During the Quarantine Medellín Quarantine Starts on March 20 for Four Days The Bottom Line: Is Medellín and Antioquia Winning the Coronavirus Battle? Medellín and Antioquia may be winning the coronavirus battle. The number of cases in Antioquia has dropped to an average of only 4 cases per day over the past eight days. Also, there are over 100 municipalities in Antioquia without a single coronavirus case. Medellín and Antioquia never experienced a big cluster of cases and the quarantine and other measures have contained the virus and appear to be keeping COVID-19 at bay. The bottom line is the measures that Colombia and Antioquia have put in place in response to the coronavirus pandemic have resulted in new coronavirus cases starting to drop in Antioquia. In addition, the spread of coronavirus throughout Antioquia was prevented with over 100 municipalities without a case. In COVID-19 free municipalities in Antioquia it is likely that many closed places will be permitted to open starting as early as next week, with some exceptions such as billiards, casinos and discotheques, churches, parks, gyms and sporting events. Watch carefully the number of new cases reported in Colombia daily. Each day we update our popular article about coronavirus in Colombia with the current coronavirus statistics for Colombia, Antioquia and Medellín. Will new cases  remain low or drop lower in Medellín and Antioquia or will they increase? Also, watch the COVID-19 testing numbers in Colombia. We update our popular article about COVID-19 testing in Colombia daily. If COVID-19 testing numbers continue to increase, this is a very good thing, as this will help identify more of those who are infected in Colombia. Sign up for the Free Medellin Guru Newsletter – You can see all of the previous Medellin Guru weekly email newsletters and sign up here. Jeff | May 8, 2020 at 4:14 pm | Tags: Antioquia, Coronavirus, coronavirus testing, COVID-19, Medellín, Winning the Coronavirus Battle | Categories: Healthcare | URL: https://wp.me/p8S9xK-6Lz Comment    See all comments Unsubscribe to no longer receive posts from Medellin Guru. Change your email settings at Manage Subscriptions. Trouble clicking? 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