Tuesday 13 December 2022

Our Colombian doings and as usual our political opinions.

Hi to all,
We hope everyone is well wherever you are and we send our Compliments of the Season.
We have decided on a slightly different format to our blogs in that we start with our personal and local news and follow with comments about the world situation, which we have to say is daily getting worse in many respects, and which is actually far worse than most people are aware. However, there are glimmers of hope ahead.
We have been asked by a very few to not send anything remotely political, so in an effort to placate these souls, we are splitting the blog as above. You do not have to read beyond the personal section should you wish not to do so. The last blog was August 28th. - 107 days ago, so this one is well overdue. 
We have had a few finishing jobs concerning our extensions/renovations to complete, and a few of these are still in process, but it's just a matter of time and perseverance. There have been myriad messages on Whatsapp (our number is +57 310 3069697) and email to our various contractors - all laboriously translated into Spanish by yours truly and Google Translate and that in itself has been very time consuming. However, we accept that we live in a Spanish speaking country and it is really up to us to speak the local language. Although, having said that, it is better to have an accurate translation when things technical are being discussed to avoid the obvious problems that can ensue with misunderstandings.
On that subject, we still do not speak Spanish anywhere near as well as we would like, but we are blessed in having Google Translate which we commonly use when paying accounts at a Bancolombia agency that we use or when going to Sura Comfama, which is for arranging doctor's appointments or prescription enquiries. But for everyday shopping, or visits to a service station to re-fuel the car, our Spanish is adequate. Similarly, ordering in restaurants and reading Spanish language menus. Some restaurants, as a result of the Covid claptrap, used that as an excuse to do away with paper menus on the spurious excuse that they were a potential transmitter of disease, but that has been scientifically disproved long ago. Anyway, some restaurants have adopted QR codes that you access on your phone, but we haven't been successful yet in making such access, being the Dinosaurs that we undoubtedly are, so unless the waitress is helpful with their phone, or they can reluctantly provide a paper menu, we just walk out. But that has almost never happened after some laborious back and forth!  Maybe in time they might get the message.......? 
On that note, service as we understand it, is almost always conspicuously absent in Colombia. Never, if your glass is empty in a restaurant, are you asked whether you would like some more, so their ability to on-sell or just provide service without being asked is always in question. It's not that they are unhelpful; it's just that it doesn't seem to occur to them. This is a very common comment that we have heard from a number of expats. However, this is in no way meant to denigrate the general friendliness and willingness to help when asked that we encounter all the time.
We experienced a situation recently when we expressed interest in buying a charcoal cooker which we thought may be a good investment in view of the parlous state of energy in the world. Although here in Colombia which is an oil, coal and natural gas producer, that doesn't seem to be an immediate problem. And energy costs are LOW compared to just about anywhere else. For example, our latest monthly energy bill was for a total of 548,816 Colombian Pesos. This equates to NZD178 at current exchange rates and includes water supply, waste water, gas and electricity. We use gas for cooking (cooktop and oven) and heating and hot water.
Anyway, back to our situation - we saw this cooker (smallest of 4 sizes - the largest of which would cook a meal for 15!). All the others came with weather-proof covers so they could be stored outside just like a BBQ. We were looking at spending upwards of 1 million Pesos (NZD 260) but we just got a blanket refusal when we asked for a cover for the smallest model. This was a problem for us because we just don't have room under cover to store it. So, no sale and they just don't seem to care!! Otherwise it is an excellent product made locally in stainless steel and is cylindrical with the charcoal fire contained at the bottom and racks at various heights above the fire according to what you are cooking. Very solid and well-made. Similar principle to the Maori Hangi. But, as with everything here, one needs to persevere in order to get what one needs! It will be here; we just need to find it!
Jean's son, Perry, and partner Tracie and the 2 nietos, Carter and Nash, came here a couple of weeks ago for a week and it was great to see them here. Perry was still working so he was constrained somewhat with on-line meetings, etc. and Tracie was home-schooling the boys every morning. However, Perry and Tracie went for early morning walks around Retiro and all around the village, so they got a very good appreciation of the town, which is delightful, being a very traditional Colombian town, without being touristy, as Guatape is.
There is a school just across a small river from here and the nietos played some Soccer (Futball) with some local kids. Their Spanish isn't too bad either, having been largely brought up by their Mexican nanny, Rosa, when they were little. Futball here is a national obsession - as Rugby is in NZ and from what we have seen, there is much talent which develops in an atmosphere of extreme competition.
The town square in front of the cathedral has been undergoing an extensive re-development for around 10 months now and is nearing completion. The amount of building development and associated works, such as road building here needs to be seen to be believed. No sign of Covid (mask wearing) or recession - the place so far is economically buoyant  - no retail vacancies on streets or in malls. 
Jean had organised one morning for horse-riding which we had never done here, but it had caught her imagination as she is a horse-woman from way back! The horses (6) and guide had been organised through a local couple that we had previously met and so we duly arrived at the meeting place - the local cemetery! Yours truly hoped that was not an omen. We trekked along a river valley up above the town and crossed the Rio Pantanillo 3 times during the trek, sometimes with the cold water half-way up the horses' flanks. Some trails very muddy and narrow and steep, both up and down. But fortunately the horses seemed very sure-footed and negotiated the trails and river crossings without losing their riders. Jean was in her element riding up and down the column chivvying the slower horses. For yours truly, the slower the better, since it was at least 60 years since the old guy had been on a horse that we had at Paroa Bay in the Bay of Islands!
Carter said that in the not too distant future he would like to come back to Retiro to learn how to ride los caballos properly. We are sure that Abuela Jean could give him some useful pointers in that direction!
Anyway, it was an experience and very satisfying to have had, and survive more or less in one piece! After dismounting (which yours truly had to be helped with, since he seemed to have become welded in the saddle!), we made our way to La Liebre (the Hare), which is our favourite breakfast restaurant with our NZ orchid breeder friend, Andy, on Sunday mornings. We had several Cervezas (beer) and an excellent lunch which assuaged our general hunger and thirst - then made our shaky way to the car which was in a near-by carpark. Just as well we didn't have to walk all the way home!
We also organised a lunch one day and our lawyer, Astrid, and our friend, Monica, came also. We had ordered food from an Arab food restaurant along the road and everyone brought food as well. It was good for Perry to have met Astrid and we had a very enjoyable time. 
Then on their day of departure, Andy  came to breakfast and it was another pleasant occasion with expertly cooked scrambled eggs and crispy bacon cooked by yours truly. The politics flew thick and fast! Andy had lived for many years in various parts of the US, including Florida, so lots to talk about.  
On that day we had organised a station wagon and driver to take them to the airport, but he didn't turn up and so we were getting concerned. Our Cuban neighbour, Jose, who had also been present at the aforementioned breakfast, however came to the rescue with his Volvo and delivered them all to the airport. He has a young 7 yr old daughter, Celeste, and the boys met her at various times and had an impromptu game of Futball in the road outside our house.
On the subject of the car - it is certainly true that when one buys an old classic (like us!), it probably takes about a year to finally iron out all the issues - like us!! The main thing with the old Merc. has been with overheating. It has 3 cooling fans - one belt driven from the engine which needed a new clutch, and 2 electric fans in front of the radiator. The clutch was replaced some time ago, but the electric fans have been becoming more erratic and we think the issue is simply the relay which controls them according to engine temperature. We have an excellent mechanic who owns his business in Medellin, but it is a bit of business going down there all the time. It is an experience going down the Las Palmas hill in a tow truck with the best part of 2 tons of Merc. sitting right behind the cab! But the tow truck driver was very competent and he didn't drop the car on the road. We had a hilarious conversation as we descended the hill. All in broken Spanish and with the occasional help from Google Translate. The difficulty was hitting the right buttons on the phone with all the jarring movement of the truck! But we explained how we had sailed our yacht 8,000 miles from NZ to Thailand and how big the boat was - only 12 metres - and how it was just us two loco old people who had set sail. People here find it hard to comprehend how anyone could do such a thing, mainly because here we are some distance from the sea and of course well above sea level. Such is the diversity of life. Most Colombians are intrigued as to why we choose to live in Colombia when we come from such a beautiful country as NZ. We simply say that we gained the wanderlust over the 10 years that we lived on the boat and that Colombia is equally as beautiful a country as NZ - different in many respects of course, but nevertheless entirely true. If you shut your eyes for a second up here you could easily imagine that you were still in NZ. A lot of the country is so similar. But establishing a new life in a foreign country with a foreign language and buying property, etc. is not for the faint-hearted and certainly not all beer and skittles! However, having said that, we feel blessed to be living in such a pleasant country town as Retiro. There is no way we could afford such a similar lifestyle in NZ.
But enough nostalgic philosophising - back to the car. Up here there is simply no-one with the necessary knowledge to successfully trouble-shoot the problems with a 30 year old car, especially one with no computers! If you can't plug it in, they are lost! Anyway, the other day the car developed a serious "miss" which meant we had to get a tow wagon down to Medellin - for the second time! A few months ago we had thought we had found a reasonable garage (taller) in Llanogrande and at that time asked them to change the spark plugs as we had no information as to when they had been replaced in the past. However, during the course of the "miss" fixing, it was discovered that the "new" plugs were in fact not new at all - and we had paid for them back then. But it's not worth going back to complain because the business has changed hands. At the time of writing the car is still in Medellin getting the electrics sorted - and the relay for the fans! It has taken 3 visits to Medellin so far to persuade our guy that this is likely the problem because like most Colombians, he has his own ideas and they really don't listen. Jean had consulted a W124 owners' group on Facebook and that was a recurring piece of advice, that relay failure is a common problem - and easily fixed. We also had this issue to some extent with aspects of the building alterations. Hopefully in the next couple of days we will get the car back and all will be well, including the relay! We've done a lot of preventative maintenance as well (brake hoses for instance!) and usually the attitude is - "they're ok - why replace before they break?" However, we don't want a brake malfunction on the Las Palmas hill between here and Medellin which drops 2,000 feet in less than 20 kms!! But to be fair, our "dueno del garage" is completely understanding and doesn't question such things.
We have been becoming expert at catching the El Retiro bus - either going down to collect the car, or in reverse after dropping the old girl off! The other passengers on the bus are unfailingly helpful when making one's way to a seat, especially when they espy decrepit old Gringos like us! And the bus will stop anywhere you want to get on or off. It's usually a very comfortable ride. We now use the San Diego stop which is only a 10-15 minute walk from the taller (workshop) and along the way there are a number of local eateries which offer such irresistible delicacies as Papas Rellenas, which are potato crusts filled with prime ground beef, mashed potato and carrots. And excellent coffee tinto - small Americanos. And SO many tallers for cars and motorcycles - all full and conducting repairs ad nauseam. Even overflowing out onto the footpaths and streets - right under the no parking signs! It's a totally eclectic scene alive with activity. And not a mask in sight - even on the bus!!

And now to the more sober matters we want to discuss. We break them down by country - 
NEW ZEALAND - this is not the first time that we have felt appalled at being citizens of Godszone, but it is by far the worst. We reproduce below in full a transcript of "Baby Will's" forcible blood transfusion against the express wishes of his parents. This story has gone viral all over the internet and the following is taken verbatim from the Patriotic Times, Reno, Nevada. There are almost daily many other identical posts, including videos, which are very hard to watch, of the NZ Police actively restraining the parents in the hospital from preventing their baby's forcible abduction. NZ's reputation is in the gutter.
"NZ COURT KIDNAPS "BABY WILL" FROM PARENTS OVER UNVACCINATED BLOOD FIGHT.
A NZ court has taken custody of a baby who needs a life-saving heart surgery, after the medical establishment in that country argued that the parents are "conspiracy theorists". The parents made a request to provide "Baby Will" with a blood transfusion from an unvaccinated person. They had dozens of unvaccinated volunteers who were willing to donate blood for Baby Will's surgery.
In ruling against them, the court took custody of the baby from the parents, so that the health establishment in that country can now inject Baby Will with the blood of a vaccinated person against the will of the parents. The parents' argument was perfectly logical and reasonable, based on the fact that they had willing blood donors lined up to contribute plasma samples for the baby. The parents' lawyers argued the following before the court:
The blood of a Covid vaccinated person is certain to have spike proteins present in it. The only question is what the concentration of spike proteins will be. The doctor who was supposed to perform Baby Will's heart surgery admitted to having no expertise when it comes to the Phizer/Moderna mRNA shots. But instead of listening to the parents or doing any research, their doctor labelled the parents as "conspiracy theorists" because of their concern for Baby Will's health.
Keep in mind that the parents WANT Baby Will to have this surgery. Their concern is with the safety of the blood supply when so many people have submitted to these shots.
Baby Will's mother had these concerns because another baby at the same hospital is in serious distress and coughing up blood clots after receiving a transfusion during surgery. Here we have actual evidence that points to potential harm from a contaminated blood supply. 
The parents' lawyers argued that the mRNA shots are not safe. This is true based on mountains of evidence. It is also true that spike proteins can be shed from a vaccinated mother's breastmilk to her baby during nursing. This has been conclusively, scientifically proven in multiple studies now. What we don't know is whether the spike protein remains in donated blood samples, and whether the spike proteins can thereby be transferred to an unvaccinated person through a transfusion.
No-one knows the answer to that question for two key reasons:
No-one is testing the blood supply for the presence of spike proteins, and no studies have been done showing us the answer one way or another. I'd be thrilled if the studies show that a person cannot get infected with spike proteins through a blood transfusion. That would be great news for humanity in the wake of this medical catastrophe. But the honest truth is that no-one knows.
Finally, the parents' attorneys argued that the New Zealand Blood Supply and Baby Will's doctors should be looking for proof of safety instead of looking for proof of harm. This was a smart argument, because many hospitals are covering up cases in which babies are dying as a result of the spike protein in blood transfusions.
Steve Kirsch brings up a baby in Spokane, Washington State, who received surgery at Sacred Heart Hospital. "Baby Alex" had his surgery and then began coughing up blood clots earlier this year. The doctors laughed at Baby Alex's parents and told them that vaccinated blood is "super safe" when they expressed concerns that the transfusion could have caused the baby's clotting problems. The doctors backpedalled when Baby Alex died. Then they scrubbed the records, so there's no official proof about the case that you can find anywhere, except on "conspiracy" websites - and the Mom's Facebook page.  
Finding proof of harm is extremely difficult in this environment, so the lawyers argued that New Zealand health authorities should be looking for proof of safety. And there's no proof of safety!
Even though the parents had blood donors lined up and ready to give samples for the baby, and the parents want the surgery, the court ruled against them. The government now has Baby Will in its custody and plans to do the surgery using vaccinated blood "for the child's well-being". Never mind that kidnapping a baby from its parents under colour of law is never good for any child. We should all be praying for a good outcome for Baby Will's surgery, now that a court has taken him away from the parents and is going to force the operation on him against the reasonable conditions the parents asked for."
For us, this says it all about NZ's fixation with cold-hearted, narcissistic authority, and is just an extension of the disastrous management of the whole Covid so-called pandemic. We wouldn't put it past the NZ health crooks to actually covertly ensure that Baby Will gets unvaccinated blood to ensure that there is a good outcome. It would be a very bad look if the baby died! 
We see that there is to be a Royal Commission of Inquiry into the NZ Government's handling of the Covid pandemic! That should throw up some interesting conclusions - unless the results are rigged!
** Undoubtedly all the foregoing could be hard reading for anyone vaccinated and for that we apologise. However, a diligent search of the internet can suggest some effective blood cleansing methods, and although we have no specific knowledge of any of these, we believe that there are some that would be well worth pursuing. We can only wish you well in these endeavours.  
To put all this in perspective, at the moment NZ's "active case" number, according to Worldometres.com, is 38,926 in a population of 4,898,203 (0.795%), Colombia's number is 35,947 in a population of 51,512,762 (0.0698%), Australia's is 299,936 in a population of 26,068,792 (1.151%) and the USA's number is 1,645,720 in a population of 334,805,269 (0.492%). So, based on populations, NZ's number of active cases is therefore 11.4 times higher than Colombia's, 0.4 times LOWER than Australia  and 1.6 times higher than that of the USA. This graphically illustrates the sheer mismanagement and total incompetence and outright coercion that has characterised NZ's handling of Covid. It is typical of a Socialist attitude to everything; heavy-handed and ignorant authoritarianism. Australia seems even worse.
If you have the stomach for it, have a look at the Epoch Times' many articles about vaccine injuries. Most of them make the blood run cold and they are all backed by many scientific studies.
This combined with the sheer evil racism and democracy destroying intent of 3 Waters (now 5 Waters) means that the Ardern Marxists have to go before they can do any more damage. 
The Hamilton West by-election result was a ray of light, but we feel very dubious about National's commitment to overturning all the Socialist excesses of the past few years. There have to be more obvious signs of "FIGHT". It's all very well to talk of "keeping the powder dry", but if they do that, it will be too late for the next election, and it's totally possible that a Labour/Green/Maori coalition will prevail. That would mean the end of NZ. BE WARNED. 
UNITED STATES - the November Midterms were a great disappointment to all who value the US Constitution and the freedom of the 246 year old Republic of the United States of America. The GOP took the House by a very slim majority, but lost the Senate. Blame has been cast in all directions, but it comes down to the RINOS (Republicans in Name Only) not supporting a genuine Conservative agenda and the failure of the GOP to develop the street-fighting techniques necessary to defeat the criminal and cheating Dems - in particular to handle the new election system being constantly pushed by the Dems - that of "Election Month" instead of Election Day.
As all electoral law is handled by individual states, it is necessary for the GOP to do all they can to elect GOP Governors and State Legislatures. Only then will the rampant and entrenched electoral corruption that cost President Trump the 2020 election be sufficiently controlled.
The same electoral shenanigans that happened in 2020 in Maricopa County, Arizona which comprises most of the City of Phoenix, have happened again. But this time there is a very determined GOP candidate for Governor, Kari Lake, who is suing every entity she can find to expose the attempted disgraceful criminal theft of the 2022 Midterm election. She MUST succeed and the criminals responsible for the charade must be prosecuted. The margin is very narrow, so she has a very good chance. All power to her. 
On top of all this, we are having the unedifying spectacle of Dr. Fauci being forced to testify before Congress and telling a pack if lies about US agencies funding Gain of Function Research at the Wuhan Institute of Virology, in spite of that "research" having been totally forbidden by the Obama Administration! Fauci is completely evil, having been almost totally responsible for the Chinese Virus along with the Chinese. 
Next year when the GOP controls Congress from Jan. 3rd., Fauci will be subpoenaed again and very likely prosecuted for crimes against humanity. And he won't be the only one.
UNITED KINGDOM - it is with a sense of bemusement that we have witnessed the musical chairs of PM and other senior Tory Party members. And in all of that, we had the immense sadness of the death of Queen Elizabeth II. She was our Head of State for 70 years and she was the glue that held the Commonwealth together during a period of great turmoil with previous members of the British Empire all gaining independence. If it wasn't for her, the Commonwealth would not now exist. May we say that Jean wishes to recuse herself from these comments concerning the Royal Family!
We see the Tories totally betraying the trust that the electorate placed in them in 2019 when Nigel Farage of the then Brexit Party literally handed Boris Johnson an 80 seat majority in the Commons on a plate by agreeing not to stand in marginal, or any seats where the Tories had a good chance of winning. Now that trust has gone out the window and the Tories are looking at the greatest loss in their history when Farage's Reform Party sweeps the stage. Reform is already at 9% in the polls and the Tory support is crumbling. Reform is the only party that one can trust to complete the exit from the bankrupt European Union. Sunak et al are all secret Remoaners and would like to take the UK back into the EU. In the meantime, the Tories are well on the way to destroying Britain with their lunatic permissive immigration negligence - we hesitate to dignify this by calling it policy. This is similar to much of  what is happening on the southern border of the United States.
Which brings us to our final point - 
King Charles III, Rishi Sunak, PM of the UK, Trudeau, PM of Canada, Albanese, PM of Australia, Biden, President of the USA, and Ardern, PM of NZ and most European leaders (except those of Sweden and Italy) are all in the World Economic Forum led by that evil bastard, Klaus Schwab, whose favorite protege is Ardern of NZ. This is a cartel of evilness which wishes to establish poverty and population reduction on the world. Just witness the forced sale of 3,000 Dutch farms because the owners could not meet the strictures of lowering fertiliser use and the threats to fine NZ farmers if they do not reduce "emissions" from farm animals. Not to mention the unaffordability of fossil fuels directly caused by the Biden Administration's war against US fossil fuel production. Can you see the web of connection aimed at the destruction of western economies by the traitors named above - and many others for sure? Destruction of food production is a major method of achieving these goals. 
Aided in all of this is a cartel of 2 billionaires, Michael Bloomfield who is the propagandist for this evil bunch, and Larry Fink, the CEO of Blackrock which is an investment manager with 10 TRILLION US dollars under management. He is the money man for the cartel. These people wish to destroy everything which we hold dear and which we have known all our lives.
We cannot predict what will happen, but after a cruel winter in northern Europe, people will rise up with unknown consequences. We also think that the divide in the US is now so deep that it will never be healed, and that after all the corruption perpetrated in the Midterm elections, the most likely scenario is Secession of the GOP states from the Dem states. No-one talks about this, but it seems to us to be inevitable.
There is a great financial recession coming in 2023, the consequences of which are unpredictable, except to say that they will be very far-reaching. And finally we read that Russia will no longer accept US dollars for their oil; they will only be accepting gold. That will have very negative consequences for the US dollar as the world's reserve currency. This USD hegemony is coming to an end and just what effect this will have on the currencies of NZ and Colombia is anyone's guess. 2023 is going to be a rough ride.
With that we wish everyone a very Happy Christmas - may earlier family rifts caused by the Covid evilness be overcome - and a New Year in which everyone can survive as well as possible.
With all best wishes,
Jim and Jean in El Retiro, Colombia xoxoxoxoxo       

7

Friday 2 December 2022

Fwd: Empire of Delusion, Part II

We are taking the liberty of forwarding this message from the legendary investors, Porter Stansberry and Bill Bonner, because their message offers the most sense we have read in understanding the craziness of the world that has been developing over the past few years. It explains the world-wide lurch to extreme left governance in countries and in ways that could never have been imagined just a few short years ago. Just look at New Zealand, with its extreme push towards a destructive, racist co-governance model, along with the push to destroy businesses - particularly those involved in food production.
We urge you to read the introductory email and then to take the time to listen to Porter Stansberry's video. In it he names the two individuals who are at the forefront of the well developed intent to "reset" and destroy the United States and along with it, the economies of all capitalist democracies the world over. 
You may or may not agree with his well researched conclusions, but at the very least they are a cause for deep concern at what is happening to our way of life - not just for ourselves, but for our children and grandchildren and for generations yet to be born.
And of course Porter Stansberry is suggesting that you subscribe to his investment research vehicle, but that is purely a matter of personal choice.
We hope that you do take the time to listen to his video, or the alternative of reading the associated transcript. In many ways the second alternative is better because it allows time to absorb and re-read if desired.
We live in a very dangerous world which is being driven by powerful individuals who are ruthless in advancing their own idealistic agenda. We all need to be aware of these developments in order to protect ourselves and our countries and cherished way of life therein. 
Cheers and Compliments of the Season from us in El Retiro, Colombia and hoping all is well with you, wherever you are.........
Jim and Jean

---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: Bonner Private Research <bonnerprivateresearch@substack.com>
Date: Fri, 2 Dec 2022 at 10:12
Subject: Empire of Delusion, Part II
To: <tiare.taporo3@gmail.com>


A conversation with Bill Bonner and Porter Stansberry  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌
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Empire of Delusion, Part II

A conversation with Bill Bonner and Porter Stansberry

Dec 2
 
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Friday, December 2nd, 2022

Dan Denning reporting here from Laramie, Wyoming. Below you'll find part two of the wide-ranging discussion between Bill Bonner and our old friend Porter Stansberry.

In the second-half of their one-on-one, they resume their discussion of energy and add money, interest rates, and the prospects of a global meltdown to the mix. Feel free to share if you know someone who would be interested.

Porter's been busy. In addition to the warning about the Boston Blackout of 2023 I sent you yesterday, Porter recorded a separate presentation on the two men responsible for destroying America.

Can you guess who they are?

You don't have to. You can watch the entire presentation here (click on bold text to go to the video).

Until next week,

Dan

PS Joel will publish a link to the video of Bill and Porter's interview tomorrow, once we have it set up.


Empire of Delusion, Part II
A conversation with Bill Bonner and Porter Stansberry


Porter Stansberry:
So Bill, what do you think some of the possible outcomes of this clash of delusions is? And I'll go first because mine are pretty simple. It seems very likely to me that we're going to have a global hyperinflationary crisis where we've already seen it happen in the gilt market in the UK. We've already seen it happen in the Euro bond market. We've already seen it happen in the yen bond market. We've already seen those currencies crash.

The reason why the dollar hasn't crashed yet is because our economy is larger and stronger and has higher rates of interest. But the rates of interest still aren't nearly as high as rates of inflation. And there is no sign the inflation's going to stop. And eventually, if you look at all the other, say the Plaza Accord in '85, other times where the dollar has been this strong, the world economy simply breaks.

And then it's not very long, usually less than a year or two, before the dollar rolls over. Of course this cycle has repeated every 15 or 20 years. But there's going to come a point where, maybe because of Bitcoin or maybe because of some really fractious political circumstances, that people just stop putting up with it. That they abandon the paper global monetary system in total. And if you look at what Bitcoin has done, it's easy to envision that occurring. So that's one possibly surprising, very negative potentially, outcome because of the delusion that you can cure all the problems with government spending. And then the energy thing. What I can see is that there is no other way to power the world with a relatively clean fuel in the next decade without way more American natural gas production.

Bill Bonner:
Not in the next decade. I mean, theoretically the most efficient fuel is uranium by far.

Porter Stansberry:
Yes.

Bill Bonner:
But it takes a long time to build uranium plants.

Porter Stansberry:
It does. And what's interesting is that the American government operates 82 secret nuclear power plants that they never ever talk about and that are highly portable. So it is interesting that that technology is clearly possible. And by the way, I'm talking about of course our nuclear navy.

Bill Bonner:
Oh, right.

Porter Stansberry:
Right? My point is that if you can put a nuclear power plant on a ship and send it into war, that it's got to be certainly safe enough to build in a neighborhood in a concrete bunker. That we haven't done that is a very interesting political choice. But like you say, that's going to take a decade or two to build out. And so what I see is that if you're not going to let people burn coal, the only way of maintaining the power grid stability is with natural gas and with somebody blowing up the Nord Stream pipeline... I wonder who that was?

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Bill Bonner:
Can't imagine.

Porter Stansberry:
It just seems very likely to me that Global LNG and American Natural Gas are going to be a booming market.

Bill Bonner:
Yeah, I know that's been a theme of yours and I think you've been exactly right about that. But going back a bit, crises always happen. And then when you get these kinds of delusions operating with high rates of inflation, you're going to see more crises. So what I think is going to happen is that the Fed will pivot, just like the Bank of England did when they had the problem in the gilt market. They're going to be faced with a crisis.

And it could be an energy crisis, could be a political crisis, could be a big bank goes broke, something like that, like Lehman Brothers. And when that happens, the Fed will pivot and then we'll be in a different world. It's a world in which the Fed has admitted that it's not going to control inflation. It can't control inflation because trying to control inflation is more costly to it, to the political class, than letting it run in order to satisfy all these problems and print money and so on. So I think when that happens, it will be a big change. And the only thing that comes close to that I have any knowledge of is Argentina. In Argentina, they've done that and they've done it for years. And it is-

Porter Stansberry:
It's a way of life now.

Bill Bonner:
Yeah, it's a way of life. And everybody knows that they can't trust the currency, they can't trust the government and, unfortunately, they can't trust their neighbors either because everything is a bit crooked and it's too bad because it's otherwise a very nice place. They have very good steaks and very good wine. It's a very nice quality of life. Can be. 

Porter Stansberry:
And very inexpensive if you have hard currency.

Bill Bonner:
But not if you depend on the local system to earn your money.

Porter Stansberry:
Well, let me ask you this question about that. There has been a long running political delusion that, "Deficits don't matter," as Dick Cheney famously said.

Bill Bonner:
Oh yeah, Dick Cheney did say that.

Porter Stansberry:
And when I wrote The End of America back in 2011, the total US debt was something like 10 trillion. The federal debt I'm talking about, it's now $30 trillion.

Bill Bonner:
$
31.

Porter Stansberry:
And so one of the really interesting consequences of a higher inflation rate and higher interest rates is it isn't possible now to afford these debts. And I haven't seen any commentator anywhere pointing out the plain truth that if the federal government were to pay a real rate of interest, let's say 6%, across their entire debt load, that amount of money would be larger than the entire tax receipts.

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Bill Bonner:
Already we're headed to a debt service charge higher than our military cost...

Porter Stansberry:
That's right.

Bill Bonner:
... And it won't be long, you can imagine that the debt is scheduled, and nobody knows what happens if there's a crisis, scheduled to get to 40 trillion in the next couple of years. At 40 trillion and at today's-

Porter Stansberry:
And the average duration on these loans is three or four years.

Bill Bonner:
Three or four years, yes. So it has to be rolled over all the time. All the time at higher rates. So it's exactly the opposite of what we've had for the last 40 years. Last 40 years we've had more and more debt but have been refinancing it at lower and lower rates, so it meant the payments went lower. Now the debt is still going up faster than ever, and the refinancing cost of getting higher and higher at a faster rate. It's going to explode. When? We don't know.

Porter Stansberry:
And by the way, the thing that's really scary about that, to me, is that America's economy and America's currency, the dollar, is the complete foundation of the global trading system. So central banks around the world settle their trade debts in dollars. Oil is traded in dollars, virtually every commodity is traded in dollars. So the consequences are not just scary for Americans losing their purchasing power, it's also really scary for people around the world.

Bill Bonner:
Oh, we're looking at a global meltdown. There's no doubt about that. All the currencies of the world, major currencies, follow it with one amazing exception, which is the Russian ruble. They all follow the same pattern. All governments spending far too much money and all covering their debts with printing press money led by the Fed. And so what we're going to see is inflation worldwide, it's already 10% in England, in Holland I think it's greater than 10%. We're seeing big numbers already and there's no case in history where inflation has been cured without real interest rates greater than inflation rates.

Porter Stansberry:
Right. So that would be rates higher than 10%.

Bill Bonner:
It had to be 10%.

Porter Stansberry:
Which is isn't going to happen.

Bill Bonner:
Imagine how many Americans can afford to refinance their homes at 10%.

Porter Stansberry:
None.

Bill Bonner:
How can the government, at 10%, if the 10 year T-bond had a 10% yield, it would mean $3 trillion of interest charge every year.

Porter Stansberry:
Which can't happen.

Bill Bonner:
Can't happen. Where's the money come from? It doesn't work. So we're looking at some big, big problems. And the crisis that I see coming comes out of the intersection of these various delusions about money, about power, about the way people live, the way people think. And we're going to see a big crisis, a big train wreck, of some sort. And then the government will be in Argentina. We're headed for Argentina. I like Argentina, so I'm not complaining too much.

Porter Stansberry:
You're already there, so you're just ahead of the curve.

Bill Bonner:
I'm not complaining too much, but it's a hell of a way to live.

Porter Stansberry:
The one thing that I've seen so far that really does back up these views with hard evidence is that only in the last couple of quarters globally, central banks have suddenly been buying enormous quantities of gold.

Bill Bonner:
Yes, they have. Yes.

Porter Stansberry:
More gold than they have bought and recorded history. I mean, just massive amounts of buying gold by central banks around the world who see the same thing. That the dollar hedge money is unsustainable. That we have, unfortunately, run up so much debts. How many trillions in Afghanistan, how many trillions in Iraq?

Bill Bonner:
A lot.

Porter Stansberry:
How many trillions did we spend paying people not to work during covid? The debts have grown so large that they can no longer be financed in sound money, and that means there's no way to stop the inflation. And when you combine that with this fantasy about making power grids out of solar cells, you have a really big conundrum because the largest input cost in any kind of production is energy.

Bill Bonner:
Yeah. Well, it's the largest thing in all of civilization.

Porter Stansberry:
That's what makes fertilizer. It's what makes food...

Bill Bonner:
Makes everything.

Porter Stansberry:
... What makes transportation.

Bill Bonner:
We are energy. The whole system on the planet earth operates because the sun shines on it, creates little tiny microorganisms, plants, animals, who eat plants, we eat animals and plants. It's a whole system.

Porter Stansberry:
So what's the solution for the average American family or global family? How do they operate in this world gone mad?

Bill Bonner:
That's a good question.

Porter Stansberry:
And obviously it really, like you said, affects the way people relate to one another. Because without sound money, people can't trust each other.

Bill Bonner:
Yeah. That's why I think this crisis is going to be worse than any we've ever seen. Because the poor Argentines, they can't do anything. They go in the streets, they form into mobs, they demonstrate, they vote and they get handouts. The upper class Argentines have figured out long ago that they needed bank accounts in dollars outside of Argentina. So if you go through the banks in Miami, you'll find a lot of Argentine money there.

Porter Stansberry:
And Uruguay.

Bill Bonner:
And Uruguay and all those countries in Latin America. And the middle class has always bought property. They buy apartments, they buy houses, they buy land because they know that prices may go up, they may go down, but they won't go away. And so those are the strategies that they've always used and I suspect those will be the same strategies here, more or less. Except we're not going to go to Miami and put our money into an Argentine peso. No, we don't have that option.

So perhaps it's Bitcoin, or gold as the old reliable, it's one I like, but who knows? But there are no secrets to this. It's mostly a matter of understanding what's going on. And for Americans that will be very hard to do because we've never had to do it before. The Argentines are used to it. They know that when they hear something from the government, it's a lie.

Porter Stansberry:
Yeah.

Bill Bonner:
Americans still believe it's the truth. So we have a long learning process to go through.

Porter Stansberry:
Yeah and it's funny, when there isn't any sound money, everything becomes more and more politicized because everyone has to organize to get higher wages to keep up with inflation, so there's a push towards unionization. And that of course separates people from one another.

Bill Bonner:
This is an important point that I think needs to be hammered on, which is that before 1971, which is the key date, people got more money by earning it. And to earn money, you had to provide a good or service to somebody else, which meant wealth increased. After 1971, increasingly when you get into this kind of funny money world, you don't get money by earning it. You get it when you're front of the line for the handouts, the loans.

Porter Stansberry:
Or you get it or you get it through financialization. You get it by trading.

Bill Bonner:
Trading, yep.

Porter Stansberry:
You get it by the inflation of the currency. You own a home, you sell it for dollars, the dollars are inflated. That's, in your mind, income.

Bill Bonner:
You're running a company, you borrow money at below market interest rates, you take the money, you buy back your own shares, you give yourself a bonus for being such a good manager. It all gets so funny, so screwed up, that people don't know what to think.

Porter Stansberry:
And so over time, the amount of production falls relative to wages and prices increase.

Bill Bonner:
Right. Bad asset allocation leads to lower growth and lower profits.

Porter Stansberry:
Do you think that there'll be any particular investor or style of investing that does better? And I point out that in the 70s, Warren Buffet and value investors in general did very, very well. Some types of investing do better during periods of chaos and inflation. And it'll be kind of the opposite of what we have seen. We know that technology stocks are not going to do well with high interest rates...

Bill Bonner:
No.

Porter Stansberry:
... But it seems likely that things like, maybe copper, could do very well because the price of copper will increase. Demand for copper will have to increase.

Bill Bonner:
Yeah. Well, I think that's generally the nature of things that when you're prosperous, you're expanding. And the web of financial and commercial relationships gets bigger. Globalization happens and you're able to trade with people around the world you never met, you don't speak their language. When you go into a contraction, it's just the opposite. Things have a way of coming back to you and prices go down because you no longer expect such great profits in the future. The whole business world contracts you.

And we're seeing that too, a de-globalization of the world economy, which will mean people are poor because you won't have so much trade. The strawberries won't come from Chile, they'll come from West Virginia or somewhere. And it's a process of de-globalization, but also de-financialization and cutting asset prices down to more realistic levels. So the companies you want to be in are those that'll survive this process of taking fantasies away. So they're not Spotify, they're not cloud computing. They are things that make copper, grow strawberries and food production, mineral production. Solid businesses. And they should do well.

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Sunday 28 August 2022

Building alterations finished

Hi to everyone,
As this blog is being started on a Saturday morning, we are seeing the finishing touches to our ascensor (elevator) installation. It is very simple - just 4 steel posts with an open platform inside the posts lifted and lowered by a steel wire on a winch just one floor by a 2hp electric motor mounted on the ground behind the posts. A little noisy, but we will not be using it every minute of the day; in fact we will still be using the stairs to maintain a modicum of fitness. The ascensor is looking towards the future when we are really old and decrepit and of course it will be useful for taking bulky and/or heavy items up or down. Maximum payload is 400 kgs.
About half of the laundry roof is also being replaced today, but now delayed by rain. Hopefully it will be finished tomorrow - Sunday. We wanted an all glass roof - same as the carport - but the gas califont water heater which we bought at the local Homecentre in Rio Negro, is actually the wrong type for inside installation. They did not tell us that there were two types - inside or outside. And they wouldn't take it back as it was already installed before we realised the situation. We can still install it on the wall in the laundry, but it needs to be flued to the outside and the flue must be absolutely vertical with NO bends. This means that it has to be led upwards through the roof, but as the roof was tempered glass, we could not create any holes in the glass. If you try and do that it just shatters into millions of tiny pieces!  So, we have to remove one of the two glass roof panels and install a conventional roof where we can create a hole for the flue. Not really a massive problem, but annoying to have to change the original design and obtaining all this information originally was like pulling teeth.
But apart from that, the whole renovation operation has gone very smoothly and we remain eternally grateful to our fellow ex-pat, Peter, for introducing us to Humberto who project-managed the whole operation. Humberto was always punctual (7am every morning) and, unusually for a Colombian, always anticipated future requirements in a timely manner. He and Ivan and at times Ivan's son, did a great job. They were expert at concrete foundations, brick-laying, tiling, electrical, stonemasonry, roofing and plumbing. Apart from that we had outside contractors (organised by Humberto) for the kitchen cabinets, benchtops, timber work for the new stair construction and window joinery.
However, having said that, we are now having problems getting Humberto back to sort out the laundry roof. We know that he has a contract to build a house for someone, but he does have an obligation to finish jobs already 98% complete. We will keep you informed of on-going progress!
We have now organised Alberto, the portero and gardener for the urbanizacion, to excavate our 17 sq. metre front garden and replace approximately 20 cms of topsoil with his own proprietary mix of chicken manure and topsoil. Alberto has a poultry farm and we buy our eggs from him. He's charging 500,000 Pesos (NZD190) for the entire operation including the replacement soil and manure. 
We have also run into a small problem with the HOA (Administracion) of the property here at Alameda Campestre. Before we started the work, we asked the administrator to come here and review our plans. We needed to ensure that our proposals were in accordance with the HOA rules. He duly came and we had a very agreeable meeting. The only issue was that the new kitchen window which was originally planned to have a black frame and a curved top, had to comply with all other windows on the front facade. So, we had to change it to a rectangular design with no curves and the frame to simply be aluminium. This was done. But, we think there is a disgruntled neighbour who has nothing better to do than complain about our window, which instead of a big plain glass panel, has small panels, which we decided on for security reasons as well as appearance. And one wall of the carport, which needed some bricks replaced after another new window installation, was a problem because we couldn't obtain the matching special bricks. So, as that wall does not actually comprise any part of the front facade, we decided to paint it a very restful shade of green which we have also used in part of the living room extension. We have now had an email from the HOA mentioning these two issues and asking for them to be changed, but we do not agree that they should be changed in view of what we were originally advised and so we emailed back (in Spanish!!) to advise that we would not be making the changes requested. Both would be very costly and difficult to do and the carport wall would not look good, to say the least. This is likely to be an on-going discussion, but we will not be budging. Any more of this nonsense, and we will threaten to paint the entire front of the house a bright Colombian yellow (amarillo)!! Amarillo seems to be the predominant Colombian national colour.
On the car front, we were persuaded to allow the acquisition of an electronic part from Mexico which we were told would fix the transmission problem with the troublesome B Class. This was done at a further cost of 4 million Pesos, but it made no difference, so for us that was it. We asked our car dealer friend, Rodrigo, to advertise the car "as is". This was done and we eventually agreed on a price of 17 million. This represented quite a loss, but we had been pulling our hair out and at least now we have prevented the hemorrhaging of any more money. We just feel relieved to have it out of our lives. It is so sad because the Mercedes B Class is a brilliant design - spoilt by an inherently unreliable CVT transmission. The rest of the car, in spite of being 15 years old, was perfect and had only done 78,000 kms. We hope that the new owner can effectively deal with the transmission which probably needs replacing entirely - or converting to manual. Either way it will almost certainly cost in excess of 30 million, which we were just not prepared to do as the car only has a retail value of no more than somewhere in the high 30 millions - if in good operating condition. A new one is at least 150 million!!
It was a good decision to go to Bogota back in February to buy the 1993  W124 - 300E. It only cost 26 million and their value in the US is 4x that as their reputation for build quality and longevity is growing all the time. It is a great car (only done 100,000 miles - miles, because it was originally delivered new in the US) and we have replaced some items which were starting to malfunction as well as preventative (a word that doesn't exist in Colombia!!) replacement of things like brake hoses. As time goes on we also need to fix the power sunroof, power driver's door mirror and power antenna, but none are urgent. The car fits yours truly like a glove and is so reminiscent of the 1987 W126 420SEC which was the last Merc owned in NZ before we left on the boat in 2011.
Last week we went down to Medellin to have these items replaced on the car by Alejandro of Greiautos - check ignition coils, replace brake hoses, water hoses, headlight bulbs and fan belt. That was going to take 2 days and so we left the car with Alejandro and stayed with American friends, Dave and Marta in Envigado. We used the time for shopping - 18 light fittings all made here and a total of 1.7 million Pesos (NZD625 - average of NZD35 each - would you buy them for that in NZ?) plus some household items. The light fitting manufacturer has been in business since 1954 and originally started out making ashtrays!! The light fittings are many and varied and all of excellent quality. There is a guy called Armando who has a local shop in Retiro selling hand-made light fittings and window blinds, some of which he had already installed for us. He met us at the shop in Itagui, Medellin and assisted in the choices. He will install them next week. 
It was great staying with Dave and Marta in their attractive apartment - older style, but we like that. Many good conversations with great insights into the horrible things happening in the US these days; their political opinions exactly paralleled ours. They have a parrot which they brought with them from the US when they emigrated and it was fascinating to watch Ziggy daintily feeding himself at the table!! He had a famous saying which he said every morning - "who let the dogs out?"  
We had recently had timber bunks built in Retiro by a furniture manufacturer and now we have some single sheets for them. Retiro has quite a flourishing furniture manufacturing industry - some mediocre, but most quite stylish and very well made and very attractive local timber. So, now we are quite prepared for the nietos from Miami in a couple of months.
We continue to enjoy living in Retiro - the only thing we miss is warmer weather and the ability to swim, but we will just have to organise alternative exercise. At least recently the weather has been much sunnier with little rain. Last Sunday morning we walked up to La Liebre (The Hare) Restaurant for breakfast with our NZ orchid breeder friend, Andy. We remarked during our pleasant walk which included a stretch along the Rio Retiro, that so many people that one passed all said "buenos dias", which we reciprocated. This would in the main not happen in "western" type countries. We buy "Pan de Yucca" buns from a bakery in the Macedonia Mall. Jean in particular loves these because they are gluten free and have a unique taste, being made from the flour of the tuber of the Yucca plant. Yuccas are grown ornamentally in NZ, but not sure whether they would produce edible tubers.
We now have a left wing President, Gustavo Petro (since 7th. August), but so far so good. He is reviving the Peace Agreement negotiated some 5-6 years ago with the various Narco militias under UN auspices, but which had been torn up by the preceding far right government of Duque/Uribe. We think that's a good start at least to redressing some of the horrible atrocities and land thefts of the past. But as regards financial matters such as income tax, it is far from clear whether the Conservatives in Congress will allow full reign to the Socialist policies that he would no doubt like to introduce. Time of course and as always will tell.
We will limit ourselves as regards political comment - whether world-wide or specifically in NZ, because it has all been said. But the US mid-terms, which everyone is hoping will turn control of both Houses of Congress back to the GOP, will be a very welcome turning point and will greatly influence future governmental direction world-wide. Normally the difference between Democrat and Republican wasn't so great and neither were trying to destroy their own country, but these days sadly that isn't true. The Dems have to be turfed out of office and in many cases impeached or outright prosecuted for crimes of corruption and sedition against their country. If this does not happen, the outlook for ALL of us is bleak indeed.
It will take at least 2 full GOP presidential terms in our estimation to finally turn things around and it will be a tough 8 years, but it must be done, and if Trump can be re-elected for the first 4 of those years where he could groom a suitable successor, such as Governor Ron deSantis of Florida, the stage could be set for at least 12 years of GOP rule. It shouldn't be difficult as the American People are increasingly seeing the unconstitutional leftist illegal excesses of the Biden crooks. November this year and November 2024 should see a Democrat rout which hopefully and deservedly they will take many years to recover from. 
NZ, Australia and Canada should follow suit if their populations have a modicum of sense. Then and only then can we kick 3 Waters and all the other race based abominations down the road. In Australia's case we heard only today that over 60% of the country's land mass now legally belongs to the Aborigines (who comprise 3% of the total population) and that anyone of another race cannot enter these vast areas unless permission is sought and granted.    
There is one bright star on the horizon; China's economy is on the verge of bankruptcy and indeed according to one report we have read, will not last beyond mid September without a major default. We must therefore all just hope that in the view of the Dem induced military weakness in the US, that Xi Xingping doesn't make a snap decision in regard to Taiwan - that it's now or never. If he were to do that soon, with America's military being so weakened by wokeness and underfunding, and the fact that they left 80 BILLION dollars worth of state of the art weaponry in Afghanistan last year, Taiwan would be toast and America and its allies totally defeated and humiliated. The sum total of all the foregoing would be a body blow to NZ's economy given the absolutely negligent foolishness of allowing 30% of NZ's total exports to be reliant solely on the economy of the Chinese Communist Party. Shades of NZ's dependency on the UK in 1973 - some people never learn!! More to the point; these days no-one knows any history, even recent stuff.
Let us hope that all of the world's woes can be alleviated without too much bloodshed and without too much economic damage. But unfortunately, thanks to the leftist inspired Chinese Virus hoax, much of the economic and social damage has already been done. 
At this point all we can hope is that our families and friends remain well and that the leftist madness infecting the world can at last be reigned in and purged from our societies.
With lotsaluv from El Retiro in Colombia...................
Jim and Jean