Sunday 6 September 2020

Latest Chinese Virus stats since 14/08 - 21 days ago

Hi,
These are the latest Chinese Virus stats since our last advice 7 days ago. The source is www.worldometres.com but the numbers are only as good as the numbers advised by various governments. So, therefore a big word of caution. Comparative figures relate to 14/08/21 (3 weeks ago).

MUNDO - world - estimated net increase in population: 1,557,692 per week.
Total cases 26,547,419 (21,168,111) - up 5,379,308 or 25.4%
Deaths 874,424 - 3.3% (759,329 - 3.6%) - up 115,095 or 15.2%
Recovered 18,732,160 - 70.6% (13,984,843 - 66.1%) - up 4,747,317 or 34.0%  
Therefore active cases 6,940,835 - 26.2% (6,425,939 - 30.3%) - up 514,896 or 8.0%
Of the total population of 7,809,591,945 (7,804,918,919) the percentage of active cases is 0.089% (0.082%) of the total world population.

COLOMBIA
Total cases 641,574 (433,805) - up 207,769 or 47.9%
Deaths 20,618 - 3.2% (14,145 - 3.3%) - up 6,473 or 45.8% 
Recovered 489,151 - 76.2% (250,494 - 57.7%) - up 238,657 or 95.3%
Therefore active cases 131,805 - 20.5% (169,166 - 39.0%) - down 37,361 or 22.1%. Of the total population of 50,977,729 (50,946,629) the percentage of active cases is 0.259% (0.332%) 
Selected areas in Colombia:
CARTAGENA
Total cases 20,758 (20,086) - up 672 or 3.4%
Deaths 528 - 2.5% (515 - 2.6%) - up 13 or 2.5%
Recovered 18,960 - 91.3% (18,034 - 89.7%) - up 926 or 5.1%
Therefore active cases 1,270 - 6.1% (1,547 - 7.7%) - down 277 or 17.9%
ANTIOQUIA PROVINCE - of which Medellin is the capital
Total cases 86,426 (76,292) - up 10,134 or 13.3%
Deaths 1,831 - 2.1% (1,571 - 2.1%) - up 260 or 16.6%
Recovered 67,885 - 78.6% (55,960 - 73.4%) - up 11,925 or 21.3%
Therefore active cases 16,710 - 19.3% (18,761 - 24.6%) - down 2,051 or 10.9%

NUEVA ZELANDA - New Zealand
Total cases 1,764 (1,714) - up 50 or 2.9%
Deaths 23 - 1.3% (22 - 1.4%) - up 1 or 4.6%
Recovered 1,630 - 92.4% (1,531 - 95.6%) - up 99 or 6.5%
Therefore active cases 111 - 6.3% (49 - 3.0%) - up 62 or 126.5%. Of the total population of 5,002,100 (still no change - what is going on in NZ?!!!!) the percentage of active cases is 0.0022% (0.001%) of the total population.

AUSTRALIA
Total cases 26,136 (23,035) - up 3,101 or 13.5%
Deaths 737 - 2.8% (370 - 1.7%) - up 367 or 99.2%
Recovered 22,169 - 84.8% (13,634- 59.2%) - up 8,535 or 62.6%
Therefore active cases 3,230 - 12.4% (9,022 - 39.2%) - down 5,792 or 64.2%. Of the total population of 25,551,491 (25,536,945) the percentage of active cases is 0.0126% (0.04%) of the total population.

ESTADOS UNIDOS - United States
Total cases 6,338,119 (5,429,115) - up 909,004 or 16.7%
Deaths 191,137 - 3.0% (170,781 - 3.2%) - up 20,356 or 11.9%
Recovered 3,575,866 - 56.4% (2,844,525 - 52.4%) - up 731,341 or 25.7%
Therefore active cases 2,571,116 - 40.6% (2,413,829 - 44.6%) - up 157,287 or 6.5%. Of the total population of 331,346,344 (331,235,184) the percentage of active cases is 0.776% (o.729%) of the total population.

Now for the usual comments - 
1) The World - active cases are up half a million or 8% in 3 weeks. This must be of concern, especially as the reported Chinese figures are ridiculously low. And the percentage of active cases by total population has increased from 0.086% to 0.089%. The Chinese Virus is still with us.
2) Colombia - mixed bag really. Total cases have increased by 47.9% - deaths up by 45.8% - recovered up 95.8% with the result that active cases are down by 37,361 or 22.1%. Measured against population, active cases are now 0.259% against 3  weeks ago at 0.286%. So, overall a slow, but steady improvement.
Colombia is still experiencing massacres - the last one in the SW province of Narino which is the 3rd there in a month. 4 people killed in the normally quiet NE part of the province. And the government is consolidating its position as regards control of key organs of the judiciary and the Supreme Court by appointments of extreme loyalists of the President to key controlling positions. At a time when Colombia should be single-mindedly pursuing the opportunities offered by the US de-coupling from China, all they seem to be able to concentrate on is the possible extradition from the US of a former paramilitary commander who can spill the criminal beans on everyone from the President down, including the present Ambassador to the US. It is unlikely that the US will permit the extradition, because they know that this individual's life won't be worth a damn if he is returned to Colombia. How any meaningful trade negotiations can take place in this climate is hard to see and once again great opportunities for this otherwise wonderful country are being wilfully prejudiced and squandered.
3) New Zealand - unfortunately the locally transmitted cases are continuing, although at a very minor pace compared with most countries. Active cases are up by 111 - 126.5% since 3 weeks ago. Hardly earth shattering, but NZ thinks it is!! However, it all seems to be very much under tight control. We say again the goal of elimination will NOT work long-term. And unfortunately that is the time frame the world is looking at.  
There is another interesting situation developing though. Some reports say that there are over 300 cruising yachts of various nationalities trapped in various Pacific Islands. This could represent over 1,000 crew and skippers. Normally these boats all depart the Islands in October and November to escape the risk of cyclones, but of course this year NZ's borders remain closed. Our opinion is that these boats and their crews MUST be allowed into NZ for humanitarian reasons firstly, and also because they represent large dollars of refit costs which traditionally they spend while in NZ. The minimum voyage time from any of the Islands is 7 days, so if a 14 day quarantine period was imposed, they would have at least completed 50% of that which would render the whole operation simpler. Although of course there would be fairly severe logistics involved in provisioning and accommodating this number of boats until they had completed their quarantines. But it's certainly all doable. Anyway, with some organisation the arrivals could be staggered so that 300 boats didn't all arrive at once. If it was us,we would just arrive and say - "well, we're here; what are you going to do about it?" Masters of ships of whatever size have a legal duty to preserve the safety of their vessels and crews and that must be paramount in their decisions. NZ needs to get organised NOW, because this is going to happen.
Finally, we are concerned to know whether in fact NZ has signed the Belt and Road Initiative with the Communist Party of China. We have been told that it was signed on August 11th., but we have been unable to gain any absolute confirmation. This is very concerning - in fact far more so than the Chinese Virus itself. China by all accounts is in the final throes of finalising a "vaccination", and they are foregoing the vital testing procedure which would normally take about a year. All in the name of $$$$$$$$$$$'s. If NZ has signed the B&RI, it could mean that a Chinese Virus vaccination could become compulsory for the whole population and guess which one would be foisted on the NZ population!!! Completely untested. We think that this is where all this is heading. Speculative of course, BUT.....................     
4) Australia - it is pleasing and a relief to see that the statistics are recovering from the situation caused by the Victorian State Government's earlier total mishandling of the virus response. Active cases are down 62.4% from 3 weeks ago and as a percentage of total population, the active cases are down from 0.017% to 0.0126%
5) United States - the stats are still a concern. We have alluded to this before, but to what extent they are being manipulated to hurt the Trump campaign is unknown. However, given the Democrat's propensity for underhand MO, it seems very likely that they are being manipulated. 
The comparative figures are - total cases up 16.7%, deaths up 11.9%, recoveries up 25.7% and finally active cases are up 6.5%. These comparisons are all over the past 3 weeks. 
The presidential election is now (from last Friday) 60 days away. The riots have quietened down because the Democrats have realised that they are doing their campaign much more harm than President Trump's. However, it seems that they are being kept on the back burner. They'll probably increase the intensity again as Nov. 3rd. gets closer. 
There has been so much hypocrisy and lying on the part of the Dems, that it's impossible to know where to start and stop. We've had Crooked Hillary saying that no matter what the election outcome, Biden must not concede. This amounts to sedition on the part of  a former 1st Lady, Senator and Secretary of State. Still, she's a Democrat - so no surprises there.
Biden himself continues to make little headway, even when he manages to stick his head over the parapet of his basement. Trump will slaughter him when the debates take place - if the Dems finally decide to allow them. They are between a rock and a hard place all of their own making. Unbelievable incompetence. The bottom line for all our sakes - Biden must NOT gain the White House.
The almost certain possibility of election fraud remains a high concern with the Democrats' insistence on mail-in voting. Over 80 million ballots potentially involved, and with the Democrat states' record and incompetence with other much smaller elections, fraud and mishandling seems a certainty. The Democrats will do all they can to force lack of decision by the Electoral College for as long as they can, and so the nightmare situation would be that if the election was undecided by Jan. 20th. 2021, the present lying Speaker of the House, Nancy Pelosi, would become acting president and then the House of Representatives would actually elect the president based on which party held the majority in the House, regardless of the fact that all indications at that point could be showing that Trump should be elected. 
We believe that this is the Democrats' endgame because they know that Biden cannot be elected by normal legal and legitimate means. If this outrageous situation developed we also believe that it would then be likely that there would be a military coup. This might sound outlandish, but from what we've read and heard, it could be a distinct possibility.
Let's hope that it doesn't come to anything like that, but with the scheming Dems anything is possible.
Stay well everyone and with all best wishes and lotsaluv from us in the City of Eternal Spring............
Jim and Jean
P.S. Jean's health remains much better than the day back in April when she went to hospital with a blood oxygen level of 49%,  but she still uses the oxygen generator at night.


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