Sunday, 6 September 2020

Latest Chinese Virus stats since 14/08 - 21 days ago

Hi,
These are the latest Chinese Virus stats since our last advice 7 days ago. The source is www.worldometres.com but the numbers are only as good as the numbers advised by various governments. So, therefore a big word of caution. Comparative figures relate to 14/08/21 (3 weeks ago).

MUNDO - world - estimated net increase in population: 1,557,692 per week.
Total cases 26,547,419 (21,168,111) - up 5,379,308 or 25.4%
Deaths 874,424 - 3.3% (759,329 - 3.6%) - up 115,095 or 15.2%
Recovered 18,732,160 - 70.6% (13,984,843 - 66.1%) - up 4,747,317 or 34.0%  
Therefore active cases 6,940,835 - 26.2% (6,425,939 - 30.3%) - up 514,896 or 8.0%
Of the total population of 7,809,591,945 (7,804,918,919) the percentage of active cases is 0.089% (0.082%) of the total world population.

COLOMBIA
Total cases 641,574 (433,805) - up 207,769 or 47.9%
Deaths 20,618 - 3.2% (14,145 - 3.3%) - up 6,473 or 45.8% 
Recovered 489,151 - 76.2% (250,494 - 57.7%) - up 238,657 or 95.3%
Therefore active cases 131,805 - 20.5% (169,166 - 39.0%) - down 37,361 or 22.1%. Of the total population of 50,977,729 (50,946,629) the percentage of active cases is 0.259% (0.332%) 
Selected areas in Colombia:
CARTAGENA
Total cases 20,758 (20,086) - up 672 or 3.4%
Deaths 528 - 2.5% (515 - 2.6%) - up 13 or 2.5%
Recovered 18,960 - 91.3% (18,034 - 89.7%) - up 926 or 5.1%
Therefore active cases 1,270 - 6.1% (1,547 - 7.7%) - down 277 or 17.9%
ANTIOQUIA PROVINCE - of which Medellin is the capital
Total cases 86,426 (76,292) - up 10,134 or 13.3%
Deaths 1,831 - 2.1% (1,571 - 2.1%) - up 260 or 16.6%
Recovered 67,885 - 78.6% (55,960 - 73.4%) - up 11,925 or 21.3%
Therefore active cases 16,710 - 19.3% (18,761 - 24.6%) - down 2,051 or 10.9%

NUEVA ZELANDA - New Zealand
Total cases 1,764 (1,714) - up 50 or 2.9%
Deaths 23 - 1.3% (22 - 1.4%) - up 1 or 4.6%
Recovered 1,630 - 92.4% (1,531 - 95.6%) - up 99 or 6.5%
Therefore active cases 111 - 6.3% (49 - 3.0%) - up 62 or 126.5%. Of the total population of 5,002,100 (still no change - what is going on in NZ?!!!!) the percentage of active cases is 0.0022% (0.001%) of the total population.

AUSTRALIA
Total cases 26,136 (23,035) - up 3,101 or 13.5%
Deaths 737 - 2.8% (370 - 1.7%) - up 367 or 99.2%
Recovered 22,169 - 84.8% (13,634- 59.2%) - up 8,535 or 62.6%
Therefore active cases 3,230 - 12.4% (9,022 - 39.2%) - down 5,792 or 64.2%. Of the total population of 25,551,491 (25,536,945) the percentage of active cases is 0.0126% (0.04%) of the total population.

ESTADOS UNIDOS - United States
Total cases 6,338,119 (5,429,115) - up 909,004 or 16.7%
Deaths 191,137 - 3.0% (170,781 - 3.2%) - up 20,356 or 11.9%
Recovered 3,575,866 - 56.4% (2,844,525 - 52.4%) - up 731,341 or 25.7%
Therefore active cases 2,571,116 - 40.6% (2,413,829 - 44.6%) - up 157,287 or 6.5%. Of the total population of 331,346,344 (331,235,184) the percentage of active cases is 0.776% (o.729%) of the total population.

Now for the usual comments - 
1) The World - active cases are up half a million or 8% in 3 weeks. This must be of concern, especially as the reported Chinese figures are ridiculously low. And the percentage of active cases by total population has increased from 0.086% to 0.089%. The Chinese Virus is still with us.
2) Colombia - mixed bag really. Total cases have increased by 47.9% - deaths up by 45.8% - recovered up 95.8% with the result that active cases are down by 37,361 or 22.1%. Measured against population, active cases are now 0.259% against 3  weeks ago at 0.286%. So, overall a slow, but steady improvement.
Colombia is still experiencing massacres - the last one in the SW province of Narino which is the 3rd there in a month. 4 people killed in the normally quiet NE part of the province. And the government is consolidating its position as regards control of key organs of the judiciary and the Supreme Court by appointments of extreme loyalists of the President to key controlling positions. At a time when Colombia should be single-mindedly pursuing the opportunities offered by the US de-coupling from China, all they seem to be able to concentrate on is the possible extradition from the US of a former paramilitary commander who can spill the criminal beans on everyone from the President down, including the present Ambassador to the US. It is unlikely that the US will permit the extradition, because they know that this individual's life won't be worth a damn if he is returned to Colombia. How any meaningful trade negotiations can take place in this climate is hard to see and once again great opportunities for this otherwise wonderful country are being wilfully prejudiced and squandered.
3) New Zealand - unfortunately the locally transmitted cases are continuing, although at a very minor pace compared with most countries. Active cases are up by 111 - 126.5% since 3 weeks ago. Hardly earth shattering, but NZ thinks it is!! However, it all seems to be very much under tight control. We say again the goal of elimination will NOT work long-term. And unfortunately that is the time frame the world is looking at.  
There is another interesting situation developing though. Some reports say that there are over 300 cruising yachts of various nationalities trapped in various Pacific Islands. This could represent over 1,000 crew and skippers. Normally these boats all depart the Islands in October and November to escape the risk of cyclones, but of course this year NZ's borders remain closed. Our opinion is that these boats and their crews MUST be allowed into NZ for humanitarian reasons firstly, and also because they represent large dollars of refit costs which traditionally they spend while in NZ. The minimum voyage time from any of the Islands is 7 days, so if a 14 day quarantine period was imposed, they would have at least completed 50% of that which would render the whole operation simpler. Although of course there would be fairly severe logistics involved in provisioning and accommodating this number of boats until they had completed their quarantines. But it's certainly all doable. Anyway, with some organisation the arrivals could be staggered so that 300 boats didn't all arrive at once. If it was us,we would just arrive and say - "well, we're here; what are you going to do about it?" Masters of ships of whatever size have a legal duty to preserve the safety of their vessels and crews and that must be paramount in their decisions. NZ needs to get organised NOW, because this is going to happen.
Finally, we are concerned to know whether in fact NZ has signed the Belt and Road Initiative with the Communist Party of China. We have been told that it was signed on August 11th., but we have been unable to gain any absolute confirmation. This is very concerning - in fact far more so than the Chinese Virus itself. China by all accounts is in the final throes of finalising a "vaccination", and they are foregoing the vital testing procedure which would normally take about a year. All in the name of $$$$$$$$$$$'s. If NZ has signed the B&RI, it could mean that a Chinese Virus vaccination could become compulsory for the whole population and guess which one would be foisted on the NZ population!!! Completely untested. We think that this is where all this is heading. Speculative of course, BUT.....................     
4) Australia - it is pleasing and a relief to see that the statistics are recovering from the situation caused by the Victorian State Government's earlier total mishandling of the virus response. Active cases are down 62.4% from 3 weeks ago and as a percentage of total population, the active cases are down from 0.017% to 0.0126%
5) United States - the stats are still a concern. We have alluded to this before, but to what extent they are being manipulated to hurt the Trump campaign is unknown. However, given the Democrat's propensity for underhand MO, it seems very likely that they are being manipulated. 
The comparative figures are - total cases up 16.7%, deaths up 11.9%, recoveries up 25.7% and finally active cases are up 6.5%. These comparisons are all over the past 3 weeks. 
The presidential election is now (from last Friday) 60 days away. The riots have quietened down because the Democrats have realised that they are doing their campaign much more harm than President Trump's. However, it seems that they are being kept on the back burner. They'll probably increase the intensity again as Nov. 3rd. gets closer. 
There has been so much hypocrisy and lying on the part of the Dems, that it's impossible to know where to start and stop. We've had Crooked Hillary saying that no matter what the election outcome, Biden must not concede. This amounts to sedition on the part of  a former 1st Lady, Senator and Secretary of State. Still, she's a Democrat - so no surprises there.
Biden himself continues to make little headway, even when he manages to stick his head over the parapet of his basement. Trump will slaughter him when the debates take place - if the Dems finally decide to allow them. They are between a rock and a hard place all of their own making. Unbelievable incompetence. The bottom line for all our sakes - Biden must NOT gain the White House.
The almost certain possibility of election fraud remains a high concern with the Democrats' insistence on mail-in voting. Over 80 million ballots potentially involved, and with the Democrat states' record and incompetence with other much smaller elections, fraud and mishandling seems a certainty. The Democrats will do all they can to force lack of decision by the Electoral College for as long as they can, and so the nightmare situation would be that if the election was undecided by Jan. 20th. 2021, the present lying Speaker of the House, Nancy Pelosi, would become acting president and then the House of Representatives would actually elect the president based on which party held the majority in the House, regardless of the fact that all indications at that point could be showing that Trump should be elected. 
We believe that this is the Democrats' endgame because they know that Biden cannot be elected by normal legal and legitimate means. If this outrageous situation developed we also believe that it would then be likely that there would be a military coup. This might sound outlandish, but from what we've read and heard, it could be a distinct possibility.
Let's hope that it doesn't come to anything like that, but with the scheming Dems anything is possible.
Stay well everyone and with all best wishes and lotsaluv from us in the City of Eternal Spring............
Jim and Jean
P.S. Jean's health remains much better than the day back in April when she went to hospital with a blood oxygen level of 49%,  but she still uses the oxygen generator at night.


Sunday, 30 August 2020

Latest Chinese Virus stats since 14/08 - 14 days ago

Hi,
These are the latest C Virus stats since our last advice 7 days ago. The source is www.worldometres.com but the numbers are only as good as the numbers advised by various governments. So, therefore a big word of caution. Comparative figures relate to 14/08/20 (2 weeks ago).

MUNDO - world
Total cases 24,789,603 (21,168,111) - up 3,621,492 or 17.1%
Deaths 838,468 - 3.4% (759,329 - 3.6%) - up 79,139 or 10.4%
Recovered 17,201,592 - 69.4% (13,984,843 - 66.1% ) - up 3,216,749 or 23.0%
Therefore active cases 6,749,543 - 27.2% (6,425,939 - 30.3%) - up 323,604 or 5.0%
Of the total population of 7,887,476,611 (7,804,918,919) the percentage of active cases is 0.086% (0.082%) of the total world population.

COLOMBIA
Total cases 581,965 (433,805) - up 148,160 or 34.2%
Deaths 18,469 - 3.2% (14,145 - 3.3%) - up 4,324 or 30.6%
Recovered 417,703 - 71.8% (250,494 - 57.7%) - up 167,209 or 66.8%
Therefore active cases 145,793 - 25.1% (169,166 - 39.0%) - down 23,373 or 13.8%. Of the total population of 50.967,362 (50,946,629) the percentage of active cases is 0.286% (0.332%) of the total population.
Selected areas in Colombia- no previous comparative figures:
CARTAGENA
Total cases 20,086
Deaths 515 - 2.6%
Recovered 18,034 - 89.7%
Therefore active cases 1,547 - 7.7%
ANTIOQUIA PROVINCE - of which Medellin is the capital.
Total cases 76,292
Deaths 1,571 - 2.1%
Recovered 55,960 - 73.4%
Therefore active cases 18,761 - 24.6%

NUEVA ZELANDA - New Zealand
Total cases 1,714 (1,602) - up 112 or 7.0%
Deaths 22 - 1.3% (22- 1.4%) - no change
Recovered 1,561 - 91.1% (1,531 - 95.6%) - up 30 or 2.0%
Therefore active cases 131 - 7.6% (49 - 3.0%) up 82 or 167.4%. Of the total population of 5,002,100 (no apparent change!!) the percentage of active cases is 0.0026% (0.001%) of the total population.

AUSTRALIA
Total cases 25,448 (23,035) - up 2,413 or 10.5%
Deaths 583 - 2.3% (370 - 1.7%)- up 213 or 57.6%
Recovered - 20,633 - 81.1% (13,634 - 59.2%) - up 6,999 or 51.3%
Therefore active cases 4,232 - 16.6% (9,022-39.2%) - down 4,790 or 53.1%. Of the total population of 25,545,834 (25,536,945) the percentage of active cases is 0.017% (0.04%) of the total population.

ESTADOS UNIDOS - United States
Total cases  6,067,600 (5,429,115) - up 638,485 or 11.8%  
 Deaths 185,272 - 3.1% (170,781 - 3.2%) - up 14,491 or 8.5%
Recovered 3,352,139 - 55.3% (2,844,525 - 52.4%) - up 507,614  or 17.9%
Therefore active cases 2,530,189 - 41.7% (2,413,829 - 44.6%) - up 116,360 or 4.8%. Of the total population of 331,309,290 (331,235,184) the percentage of active cases is 0.764% (0.729%) of the total population.

And finally some comments - including a few political ones. We can't help ourselves!!!!!!!!!
1) The "world" figures must be estimates as the increase in world population is estimated at 81 million per year - 1,557,692 per week. But the increases in cases must be concerning overall.

2) Colombia - it is pleasing to see that the ratio of "active" cases to total cases is coming down substantially from 39.0% 2 weeks ago to 25.1% last Friday. Also as a percentage of the total population the ratio of "active" cases over the same period  has declined from 0.332% to 0.286%.
However, one must add a rider to these figures. Judging by our observations over the past months, we cannot have much confidence in any figures produced by this inept and hopelessly corrupt government. However, maybe there's a discernible trend - we hope so. Colombia is from the 1st. September coming down from most of the lockdown restrictions which have been in place since mid March - 5 and a half months. There are still personal restrictions such as mask wearing and social distancing, but it's a very welcome development. Let's hope that not too much damage has been done to the economy and that which has been done can be repaired.
We have also supplied figures for the City of Cartagena on the Caribbean Coast and for the province of Antioquia of which Medellin is the capital. Cartagena is a very historic city, having been established by the Spanish in the 1500's. These figures provide an interesting contrast compared with the whole of Colombia.
We must also refer to several massacres which have taken place in Colombia over the past 14 days or so. The military coined the term "collective homicides" because it sounds better than massacres. And Duque has seized on that term to try to induce overall acceptance of disgraceful and murderous acts which have no place in any country which imagines itself to be in any way civilised. We are sure that the vast majority of Colombians are repulsed and horrified by these barbaric acts.  Over 40 victims in mostly remote areas including several 14-15 yr old children. Reports suggest that these children were also tortured before being murdered. Seems that the reasons are mostly political and related to the continuation of massacres which have been gaining ground ever since the Duque Government took power in 2018, and virtually scrapped the UN brokered Peace Agreement with the FARC. The Colombian Government signed the Peace Agreement in 2016, but Duque has since virtually torn it up. The victims are in the main people who are land activists engaged in righting past land injustices.     

3) New Zealand - active cases have increased by 167%, but that's only a number of 82 infections. NZ partially locked down again the biggest city of Auckland, but there are many debates going on as to whether these draconian lockdowns really achieve much, considering the economic destruction that has occurred. NZ has tried the "elimination" method of dealing with the Chinese Virus, but after about 100 days of apparently being free of community transmission and everyone slapping themselves on the back, it has come back and the health people cannot explain it. "Elimination" has failed. It seems to us that NZ, and the whole world, needs to learn to live with this damned virus and develop sensible methods that protect people as much as possible, while at the same time allowing commercial activity, which is vital for rescuing societies from a dead end of poverty.  
We believe that from what we've heard that NZ has inexplicably signed the Belt and Road Initiative with Communist China. Can't get a straight answer out of any of the political parties - why the secrecy??  Why would anyone in their right mind sign anything with a murderous regime like the CCP who deliberately unleashed a deadly virus upon the world which has so far killed as far as we can see, 838,468 people. THAT is a massacre, notwithstanding the economic losses all around the world. CHINA MUST PAY - NOT BE TREATED AS A VALUED TRADING PARTNER. 

4) Australia - the total cases, deaths and recovered figures are all up with the result that active cases are DOWN. The figures would have been much better had it not been for that socialist clown/fool of a Victorian Premier, who couldn't manage a p---up in a brewery!! Melbourne descended into being a basket case, but seems to be turning the corner thank goodness.
The other thing is that this same Premier also signed the Belt and Road Initiative with the Communist Party of China on behalf of the State of Victoria and in secrecy without seeking any approval from the Federal Government. They are amending the relevant legislation to force the cancellation of the agreement as it does not fit with Australian foreign policy. These international agreements should only ever be negotiated and entered into by the Federal Government in Canberra. Australia has far more sense than NZ in these things!!

5) United States - the virus stats do not look great except for the fact that recovered cases are showing an increase of just over half a million or almost 18%. Active cases are up by just over 100,000 in spite of being down by approx. 3% against the latest total cases figure. 
There have been many reports of inaccurate recording of "cases" as a result of their very intensive and extensive testing regime. There was for instance a case of a woman in Florida whose tests did not work for some reason, but then her total "tests" (15!) were added to the national total. How many times has this happened overall? This type of inaccurate recording is probably a major factor with inaccurate reporting of statistics. Again, it is difficult to place total reliance on the figures.
From the 17th. to the 20th. August we endured 4 nights of a lacklustre Democrat National Convention during which all the speakers seemed to be able to do was criticise President Trump with hissy fits of vicious lying and totally dishonest misrepresentation of just about every subject that was commented on. Without mentioning the crooked backgrounds of both the presidential and vice-presidential candidates, all we can say is that with their extreme left wing policies they would destroy America, which in fact seems to be their aim with the Democrat supported Antifa arsonist riots in Portland, Seattle, Chicago, Minneapolis, NewYork, Oshkosh, Milwaukee, Kenosha, Washington D.C., Atlanta, Baltimore, St. Louis and many more. These riots have also resulted in the murder of countless innocent people, including the murder of several children - one shot as she sat in the back seat of her parent's car and another 12 month old shot and killed as he sat in his pushchair. Many others as well. That's the left wing of the Democrat Party for you.
And why is Biden staying holed up in his basement, whereas Trump is out and about meeting and talking to people? Almost certainly the reason is that the Democrats are scared witless that if Biden gets too much, or any, outside exposure, he will fatally damage the Democrat campaign - such as it is! Great candidate for President of the United States!!
But last week the Republican National Convention was a total breath of fresh air. Where the Democrats were negative, the Republicans and Trump were remorselessly positive. The diverse numbers of people who Trump has directly helped told their stories and in many cases absolutely and emotionally from the heart. The cases where his policies have helped various groups were legion and many black leaders, who in most cases would never in the past have thought of voting Republican, now say they will never vote Democrat again. The Democrats have historically relied on the black vote, but that support has largely evaporated.
Nothing is ever absolutely certain in politics, but right now we predict a Trump win by a substantial margin. The Democrat encouraged and organised riots have blown up in the Democrats' faces. And now, having realised their fatal mistake, they are trying to blame Trump for the riots that they fomented, funded and encouraged. The Democrats will NEVER stop their crooked efforts to undermine Trump, because they have no legitimate alternative. 
And Trump will continue his China policies to prevent them from carrying on their policies of larceny of US intellectual property and imbalance of trade to the tune of at least 500 billion dollars per annum. All allowed mainly by the Obama/Biden cartel and earlier by other administrations over the last 30 years or so. Manufacturing is coming back to the USA and also to friendly countries like Colombia who are more than capable of filling the void.

Finally we must mention the outrageous campaign against Hydroxychloroquinne which has been used quite safely as a treatment for Malaria for 70 years. It has been recommended by many doctors who used it in the early stages of the C Virus very successfully as an effective therapeutic drug against the Chinese Virus, provided its use was started in the early stages of the virus's onset. Anyway, we have obtained some here in Medellin, so at least we could use it as a first defence. In spite of the rabid world-wide efforts on the part of the FDA and others to destroy the reputations of those who used it with impressive success in the early stages of the spread of the virus. And this includes banning the 70 year old drug in many countries. Disgraceful - and financially driven.
We could go on and on but all we'll say now is:

TRUMP  2020!!!!
Cheers from the City of Eternal Spring,
Jim and Jean
 








Virus-free. www.avg.com

Friday, 21 August 2020

Latest Chinese Virus stats since 14/08 - 7 days ago.

Hi,
These are the latest C Virus stats since our last advice 7 days ago. Can't vouch for the accuracy. Is a guide only.  Old figures in brackets  - 
MUNDO - world
Total cases 22,893,027 (21,168,111) - up 1,724,916 or 8.2%
Deaths 797,690 - 3.5% (759,329 - 3.6%) - up 38,361 or 4.8%
Recovered 15,539,457 - 67.9% (13,984,843 - 66.1%) - up 1,554,614 or 11.1%
Therefore active cases 6,555,880 - 28.6% (6,425,939 - 30.3%) - up 129,941 or 2.0%. Of the total population of 7,806,476,611 (7,804,918,919), the percentage of active cases is 0.084% (0.082%) of the total population. 

COLOMBIA
Total cases 513,719 (433,805) - up 79,914 or 18.4%
Deaths 16,183 - 3.2% (14,145 - 3.3%) - up 2,038 or 14.4%
Recovered 339,124 - 66.0% (250,494 - 57.7%) - up 88,630 or 35.4%
Therefore active cases 158,412 - 30.8% (169,166 - 39.0%) - down 10,754 or 6.4%. Of the total population of 50,956,995 (50,946,629) the percentage of active cases is 0.311% (0.332%) of the total population.

NUEVA ZELANDA - New Zealand
Total cases 1,665 (1,602) - up 63 or 3.9%
Deaths 22 - 1.3% (22 - 1.4%)  - no change
Recovered 1,538 - 92.4% (1,531 - 95.6%) - up 7 or 0.5%
Therefore active cases 105 - 6.3% (49 - 3.0%) - up 56 or 114.3%. Of the total population of (5,002,100) the percentage of active cases is 0.002% (0.001%) of the total population.

 AUSTRALIA
Total cases 24,407 (23,035) - up 1,372 or 6.0%
Deaths 472 - 1.9% (379 - 1.7%) - up 93 or 24.5%
Recovered 18,460 - 75.6% (13,634 - 59.2%) - up 4,826 or 35.4%
Therefore active cases 5,475 - 22.4% (9,022 - 39.2%) - down 3,547 or 39.3%.  Of the total population of 25,540,177 (25,536,945) the percentage of active cases is 0.02% (0.04%) of the total population.

ESTADOS UNIDOS - United States
Total cases 5,747,544 (5,429,115) up 318,429 or 5.9%
Deaths 177,476 - 3.1% (170,761 - 3.2%) - up 6,715 or 3.9%
Recovered 3,096,317 - 53.9% (2,844,525 - 52.4%) - up 251,792 or 8.9%
Therefore active cases 2,473,771 - 43.0% (2,413,829 - 44.6%) - up 59,942 or 2.5%. Of the total population of 331,272,237 (331,235,184) the percentage of active cases is 0.747% (0.729%) of the total population. 

General comments:
1) No results from the UK because they are not publishing deaths or recovered cases stats.
2) Total population figures - world based on an increase of 81 million per week. Other countries estimates only. Some have increased since last week - others haven't changed. So best estimates only.
In view of developing events in China, we might need to revise our comments re the treatment of  China in the light of their commercial behaviour. Much of this has been reprehensible, to say the least, with the deliberate and malign release of the Chinese Virus upon an unsuspecting world, and espionage involving theft of intellectual property over many years. We do not suggest that reparations should not continue to be sought, or Chinese assets seized for these horrible crimes. There is a law firm in Florida, USA which is suing the Chinese government for 6.5 trillion USD. If they win the case and China still doesn't pay, the way is then open for seizure of Chinese assets in the US.
However, right now the whole of the Yangtze River valley is experiencing its 5th. major flood in the last 2 months. This has resulted in such a scale of flooding over the last few weeks that it has seen the destruction of their total grain crop, much of their rice crop and no doubt at least some of their manufacturing capability. In typical Communist Party style, President Xi has instructed the governors of the flood affected provinces to maintain their food production at 2019 levels - failing which they will be dismissed, or worse!! Rice futures are already higher than normal.
The 3 Gorges Dam on the Yangtze River (2.5 kilometres long across the river) is under enormous pressure - very close to its designed safe limit - and at the moment the inflow into the reservoir (75,000 m3 per second) is well above the outflow (48,600 m3 per second) as they try and attempt to minimise the damage downstream. The amount of outflow from the dam is at its largest since it was constructed. The water depth on the upstream side of the dam is approaching 166 metres. But this cannot continue. The dam's apparent limit is 175 metres and the reservoir behind the dam is 410 miles long. God knows what that means in terms of actual physical pressure on the dam wall. And the dam is built in a well-known earthquake zone. There are also persistent reports that the construction of the dam was badly affected by rampant corruption, substandard materials and that the whole structure is not properly bedded into the river bed. It just sits on the bottom of the river on loose rubble.  
If the dam failed (and it has distorted), the resultant massive damage and loss of life could well mean the end of the CCP. 400 million Chinese live downstream from the 3 Gorges Dam.  At some point very soon, to try and save the dam, they will have to increase the outflow again and you don't need to be a rocket scientist to realise the further damage that this will cause downstream. Many cities up and downstream right now are experiencing water levels 6-9 feet above normal. 
So, China's import demand for food should substantially escalate. NZ, Australia, Canada, the US and others could well experience demand well above any current or recent expectations, particularly having regard to China's very recent threatening behaviour re trade agreements. The trade sanctions that they slapped on Australia and the very public warnings issued to NZ will fade into the background as they grapple with the enormous problem of feeding their people.
In addition there are reports that Xi Xingping may be facing a muted (so far) revolt from his military and others in the Politburo who have been growing very disquieted at his military adventurism and generally belligerent behaviour more or less all over the world. If the 3 Gorges Dam fails, it seems likely that it would be the catalyst for the end of Xi's rule, and it could also spell the end of the CCP, if the Chinese people finally revolt. It will depend on whether the Army would support them, but that seems more than a possibility in such circumstances.
All a bit speculative, but there is no doubt that the 3 Gorges Dam is at great risk and could well fail, and of course the crop destruction as above is a fact right now.  
We hope that for the sake of the 400 million people living downstream that does not happen, because it would cause a devastating loss of life and property and would also affect the city of Shanghai. 
The crop failures involve mainly rice and corn and already US exports of corn to China are at record levels. As regards NZ, not sure whether these crop failures would have much impact because dairy is largely imported anyway. But the situation may impinge on their ability to pay for what may be regarded as a luxury food as their economy was already on a slippery slope before there was any news of the C Virus or the floods had started. Dairy and Kiwifruit would not be a priority when confronting national starvation, so NZ's exports could suffer, but for different reasons than China becoming belligerent and punitive over the FTA. Who really knows, but the outlook for NZ's world trade in the short term is not good and urgently needs alternatives, some of which are already either starting to happen (SEAsia), or on the horizon (UK and possibly India).
However, it now appears, and this has been kept under wraps in NZ, that NZ signed the Belt and Road Initiative with Communist China on August 11th. If this is in fact true, and we believe it to be, NZ frankly needs its head examined. NZ is a member of the Five Eyes intelligence network and the other 4 members - the USA, Australia, Canada and the UK - will freeze NZ out of any intelligence sharing and cooperation generally. Could also well impact on NZ's ability to secure a UK trade deal when it will need every friend in the world that it can get and keep. China's economy is on the rocks and who knows how it might ultimately react. Depends on many things - whether the 3 Gorges Dam survives, whether Xi Xingping and/or the CCP survives, how serious is the developing food shortage in China, and the level of desperation (now or never attitude) that may exist or come to exist in the CCP.  
Apart from that, there have recently been very encouraging reports that Colombian officials in Washington have been holding talks with the US as part of the US de-coupling from China. In the last few days a US delegation has arrived in Colombia to discuss the establishment of manufacturing industries in Colombia as they are withdrawn from China. There are already existing pharmaceutical, automotive manufacturing and textile industries here and there are many others that could be started. Colombia geographically is right on the doorstep of North America with 3 ports on the Caribbean coast which are as close to the southern US as Auckland is to Sydney. So, exciting times and a great opportunity for Colombia. Better go and buy that cheap electric drill now while you still can! We've read reports that at Bunnings in Australia there are already shortages of certain power tools.
On that note we'll love you and leave you and hope that everyone is well and coping with the C Virus frustrations.
Jim and Jean
Medellin
Colombia

Friday, 14 August 2020

Fwd: Manufacturing being removed from China and relocated to Latin America



---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: James Donald <tiare.taporo3@gmail.com>
Date: Fri, 14 Aug 2020 at 13:23
Subject: Manufacturing being removed from China and relocated to Latin America
To: Alex Donald <adonald@abdonaldltd.co.nz>
Cc: Amanda Donald <amandadonaldrm@gmail.com>, Charlotte Donald <chillitdonald@yahoo.com>, <Rozanne.Donald@mrgs.school.nz>, Heather Lal <heatherlal53@gmail.com>, David Dunsheath <DavidD@bcpl.co.nz>, Hamish Mead <bluedogstainless@xtra.co.nz>, Linda Luxford <lindaluxford9@gmail.com>, Darren MacGillivray <dmacgillivray71@gmail.com>, Jiveen MacGillivray <jiveen@gmail.com>, Graham <graham@tennisauckland.co.nz>, John Bassili <jajbassili@gmail.com>, lorraine littlefield <lorraine_bun@hotmail.com>, Astrid Meléndez <astridmelendez@une.net.co>, Tracie Hancock <Tracie.Hancock@brightstarcorp.com>, Alan Dodunski <amdodunski@gmail.com>, Clara Restrepo Velez <claramemo@hotmail.com>, Dave Petraska <dave_petraska@hotmail.com>, Jean Tallentire <jean.tallentire@gmail.com>, Monica Correa <monica.m.correa@icloud.com>, <perry.lanaway@gmail.com>, Juan Pablo Gallego <jgallego_7@hotmail.com>, Edgar Agudelo <Edgar.Agudelo@gmail.com>, Angela Patricia Sanchez <apsanchez@alianza.com.co>, elizabeth cooper <elizamarycooper@gmail.com>, Colin Hansen <colin.hansen@ps.gen.nz>, Felipe Gutierrez <felipegutierrez@gutierrezgroup.com.co>, Miguel Homsey <MDH229@aol.com>, Inge Palmer <ingep0227@gmail.com>, Sara Pritchard <sarapritchard18@gmail.com>, <thewrights@xtra.co.nz>


Hi to all,
We have just heard the best news we've heard in a long while. Just hope it's even partially true.
On NTD News today part of their total news coverage mentioned that there have been on-going negotiations in Washington DC between the Colombian Ambassador and others and the US Government regarding the inevitable US de-coupling from China and a firm proposal to establish at least part of that de-coupled manufacturing to Latin America, which is right on the doorstep of N America, We have been going on about this for months now to anyone who would listen, and with any luck the proposal shows promising signs of eventuating.
It is called "Back to the Americas" and Colombia has been selected to play a "pioneering role".
Makes eminent sense given that Colombia already has a manufacturing tradition as well as still having a substantial manufacturing base. Much of that manufacturing in the past involved the textile trade - mainly centred on Medellin. There is still some of that activity left here and we always try to buy "hecho en Colombia" labelled clothes when we can. But it could come back with a vengeance. And a big labour force from Venezuela. Colombia also has 3 ports on its Caribbean coast which are no further from the southern US than Auckland is from Sydney.
Labour costs in particular are cheaper than in the US and, while maybe a little dearer than China still, that will change on a comparative basis as China's population rapidly ages. China has a real demographic problem with its aging population.
It would be a huge boon to the Colombian economy and we just hope that this exciting news  turns into reality.
With best wishes from us in Medellin and let's hope that there is a rapid end to the Chinese Virus unleashed upon the world by Communist China.
Jim and Jean
Medellin
Colombia

Saturday, 25 July 2020

Fwd: Another blog!!! This is important. More than most people realise!!!!



---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: James Donald <tiare.taporo3@gmail.com>
Date: Fri, 24 Jul 2020 at 20:54
Subject: Another blog!!! This has urgent information for your consideration!!
To: Jean Tallentire <jean.tallentire@gmail.com>


En primer lugar, confiamos en que todos permanezcan en el rosa y escapen del Virus Chino. 
Now, the usual medical bulletin. Jean went to another doctor recommended by our soon to be new medical insurance assessor and after looking at the DVD of her lung scan, which had been done some 2 months ago, he confirmed the diagnosis of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD). However, it doesn't seem too bad because she does 30 minutes on our exercycle and can walk up 7 flights of stairs in our building without stopping, in addition to walking for 10 minutes up to the local supermarket when necessary. He did give her a very good piece of advice though. She has had low oxygen in the morning, even after being on the oxygen generator all night. She mentioned this and he simply said restrict any food or drink - even water - for at least 2 hours before going to bed. She has been doing this for a few nights now and it really works. Such a simple thing - amazing.
Jim soldiers on with no real problems, although the blood sugar remains usually just above normal. So, the other day a medical technician came to the apartment to take some blood samples and apparently this particular test with no fasting necessary, gives a history of blood sugar movements over the recent time. So, it's not just a snapshot, although to be on the safe side yours truly did fast for 12 hours so the result should be as accurate as possible. 
Life here in Medellin continues, although now in a very boring way. We haven't been able to leave the city environs since March 20th. - 4 months ago. Of course no Farmers Market or coffee or an empanada at a cafe. One semblance of normality though - the cafe just up the road is only open for takeaways and about once a week Jim can enjoy some Papas Rellenas! But not this weekend. The Aburra Valley municipalities have instituted a 4 day absolute lockdown from and including the 17th. to midnight on the 20th. The 20th. is actually another of the 20 odd public holidays in Colombia! Independence Day, so that's why they have done it. Subsequent weekends are going to be locked down for the 2 days - at least at this stage. Just today (24/07) though, we learnt very belatedly that Fridays were now being included in the lockdowns making them 3 day lockdowns! We only learnt this in a text from our HOA at 9.30 this morning (24/07) while we were in the car, so lucky that we did not come across any police anywhere. The fines are steep. The reason for this is that, although Medellin's health system is supposed to be the best in all of Latin America, even it is now being overwhelmed by an influx of Virus patients mainly from the poor area of Choco on the Pacific coast where, thanks to criminal corruption in the past, the health system has totally collapsed. God knows what is happening to those who cannot get here - no doubt they die or just get better. And neither the Medellin Government nor the National Government has a clue just what is happening with the Virus. Apparently, if you can believe it, Colombia now has 112,000 active positive cases and healthcare has collapsed all over the country, including in the capital, Bogota. However, the surrounding large province of Cundinamarca has now opened up medically to Bogota, which will help. Only two or three weeks ago the total number of cases in Colombia were being stated as around 4,000. How does the number increase by 2,700% in 2 or 3 weeks?? Sheer ignorant incompetence, mainly as a result of the corruption that we have mentioned many times before.
In terms of the stability of medical systems in Medellin,Cali and Bogota, all three cities are close to collapse in terms of ICU availability and the Government seems determined to ignore the situation and just pretend all is well. The medical people are pulling their hair out as they really struggle to hold things together. In addition, money that was supposd to be used to meet unpaid backpay for medical staff and also to be used to provide proper PPE (personal protection equipment), just vanished! 1.5 BILLION USD!! So the pay situation was not met and the medical staff were threatening to walk out saying they were "not prepared to commit suicide". Not sure whether there has been any real progress on these issues since. The Health Minister was under criminal investigation, but news of that seems to have just petered out. No surprises there!
There is an air of panic about the place (perhaps in view of the above not too misplaced) - particularly where wearing of masks is concerned. We see ludicrous examples of mask wearing. People on push bikes and motorbikes, walking on the street miles from anyone else, and driving alone in a car with the windows up and the aircon no doubt on!! We don't disagree with masks in more confined spaces such as shops, surgeries and offices and hand sanitising and temperature taking. We've had our temperatures taken so much lately that we could get a complex about it!! The other issue is that Jim, who has had a sinus problem all his life which means that one nostril or the other is permanently blocked from inhaling, cannot therefore wear a mask over his nose for any length of time. Got told off in a supermarket the other day so pulled it up then straight down again! Stressful and unpleasant though.
Jean with her condition of COPD also has a problem with wearing a mask for any length of time. Her need for as much oxygen as she can get is constant and of course with inhaling through a mask, that requirement is greatly compromised. We don't doubt that there are many other people equally compromised when wearing a mask for any length of time.
It should be remembered that masks are mainly to partially avoid infecting others - not for personal protection where they are fairly useless.
We can only shop one day a week each, so of course that means 2 days. But the other day we wanted to go to Homecentre together and we have driven into the carpark together before, but it was Jim's day and the security wouldn't let Jean in. There we were at the entrance with about a dozen cars behind us and no way of turning around. So we just drove in! Then, because Jean would have had to sit in the car in the carpark breathing vehicle exhaust fumes, we left again, went home (10 minutes) where she remained and then Jim drove back and went shopping for some paint, which had to have the colour matched. Bit of a business with the language but all was accomplished in the end! Bureaucracy gone mad!!!
At the end of this blog there are 2 disturbing reports taken verbatim from Colombia Reports - an English language Colombian on-line newspaper. The first is an interesting history lesson regarding the growth of the past 200 years of armed conflict in Colombia. Gives some context for what is happening right now.
The second covers developments since 2016 when the peace agreement with the FARC was signed by then President Santos under UN auspices. There was much enthusiastic optimism following that momentous occasion, but then there was a change of government, and the new government and President Ivan Duque are far right by comparison. As a result they have totally ignored the peace agreement with all the consequences that you will read in the article. One consequence is now likely to include a complete cessation of aid from the US which is targeted at reduction of the Coca crop and enforcement action against the Narco business generally. But this government has no interest in reducing the Cocaine trade because a number of them and their cronies in the various family driven crime syndicates would potentially see the end of a very lucrative criminal business. Corruption in government has also soared, particularly in the health sector, with all the horrific results that are now occurring. And, along with most countries, once the C Virus relief measures, such as they are in Colombia, cease, then the economy will be in total tatters. Probably no later than early next year.
If there is one good thing about the Chinese Virus, it is that it is unmercifully exposing previous mismanagement and extreme corruption. Hopefully these things will finally be in the public domain to such an extent, that as time progresses the perpetrators will be brought to account. We trust that our hope is not misplaced. 
We have listed our apartment for sale but as expected absolutely nothing has happened so far. We have withdrawn from our earlier commitment to buy off the plan in an excellent development (on paper) because we cannot see them in the medium term reaching the confirmed sales threshold with the Fiduciary company to enable construction to start. Very disappointing, but our apartment in Envigado is very convenient, comfortable and by comparison with many other poor people in the world, we have absolutely nothing to be concerned about.   
We can only hope that if and when the Chinese Virus situation improves, we may finally sell here in Envigado and the Casa Grande development at Llanogrande will proceed. For us that will of course depend on whether "our" apartment is still available.That would be a fabulous outcome, but we cannot feel optimistic at the moment with random lockdowns occurring all over the country together with associated health system collapses.

Then we have the situation in the United States. The first thing we'd say is that if you don't have Fox News on your cable TV, you should at least read some articles on the internet - foxnews.com among others. We won't say too much because most has been said before. In addition we can recommend Sky News Australia on Youtube for information on Australia's stand against Chinese commercial and political aggression in the SW Pacific, the South China Sea and in Australia and to a lesser extent in NZ - so far. Other Youtube videos we read are Newsmax TV, The Epoch Times, LBC (from the UK), US Dept. of State, and NTD News. It is notable that NZ is almost never mentioned as an ally of Australia and the US, probably because it is seen as a nonentity cowering under the fictional protection of its FTA with the Chinese Communist Party. NZ has so far been warned twice very publicly by the Chinese Ambassador to "stay out of China's internal affairs", otherwise there will be consequences - no doubt relating to aspects of the aforesaid FTA.  
The following is an article lifted directly from Fox News on the 16th. July. You will never see this truth reporting in Granny Herald in Godszone!!! And certainly not on that lying fakenews channel - CNN.
1) Bill Barr, the United States Attorney-General in an address at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Museum, warns of Chinese efforts to dominate industries, calls out Hollywood, and tech. giants for caving to Chinese pressure. The United States Attorney-General delivered a dire warning to the US and the world on Thursday the 16th. July regarding what he said could be "the most important issue for our nation and the world in the 21st. century", which he referred to as "the Chinese Communist Party's global ambitions".
Discussing sectors, including the technology, pharmaceutical, and entertainment industries, Barr described how the Chinese Government is "engaged in an economic blitzkrieg" aimed at dominating the global economy and replacing the US as the world's top superpower. 
"The CCP has launched an orchestrated campaign, across all of its many tentacles in Chinese Government and society, to exploit the openness of our institutions in order to destroy them," Barr said during an address at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Museum.
To achieve their goals, Barr said, the People's Republic of China (PRC) is utilising "a wide array of predatory and often unlawful tactics" that include currency manipulation, theft of intellectual property, cyberattacks and espionage.
Barr said that the Chinese Communist Party's "Made in China 2025" initiative "poses a real threat to US technological leadership", as China seeks to dominate a number of high-tech industries.
The Attorney-General further warned that the US is already "dangerously dependent" in certain areas, such as rare earth materials used in a wide variety of technological devices and active pharmaceutical ingredients (API's).
"As one Defense Health Agency official noted, should China decide to limit or restrict the delivery of API's to the United States, it could result in severe shortages of pharmaceuticals for both domestic and military uses", Barr said.
At the same time, Barr said, China "has systematically preyed on American companies" by placing obstacles in the health market ranging from price limitations to counterfeiting. He mentioned that Chinese nationals working at US pharmaceutical companies have been caught stealing secrets in both the US and in China.
"The ultimate ambition of China's rulers isn't to trade with the United States," Barr said. "It is to raid the United States".
Barr lamented that far too many American companies have complied with Chinese demands in order to seek short-term profits.
"Sadly, examples of American business bowing to Beijing are legion," Barr said, pointing to how Hollywood "regularly censors its own movies to appease the Chinese Communist Party." Giving examples, including the films "World War Z" and "Doctor Strange", Barr noted how studios have altered key components of films so as not to offend the Chinese Government, which would risk having the movies closed off to more than a billion people who make up the Chinese market.
"Chinese Government censors don't need to say a word, because Hollywood is doing their work for them", Barr said. "This is a massive propaganda coup for the Chinese Communist party".
Barr also called out tech. giants such as Apple, Google, Microsoft and Yahoo for being "all too willing to collaborate with the CCP", pointing to how Apple removed the news app, Quartz, from their on-line store because China opposed their coverage of protests in Hong Kong.
Barr issued a grave warning to firms that may believe it is in their best interests to work with China. "If you are an American business leader, appeasing the PRC may bring short term rewards. But in the end, the PRC's goal is to replace you".   
Now we see the forced closure of the PRC Consulate in Houston,Texas. The Consulate serves as the lynchpin of all of the PRC's espionage and intellectual property theft in the US. China has retaliated with ordering the closure of a US Consulate in China. This situation will only escalate.
China is by far the greatest challenge facing the US (and the world), even surpassing the effects of the Chinese Virus - which China unleashed on the world in any case. So, it all comes back to China. The US and its allies (Australia, the UK, Malaysia, The Philippines, Singapore, Brunei, Vietnam and Indonesia) are conducting constant and on-going exercises in the South China Sea where China has stolen small islands and reefs which are and have been for many years the legal property of various of the nations mentioned just above. These exercises involve beach landings of troops and naval manoeuvers centred around at least 2 of the US Navy's aircraft carriers and their support ships. In addition we have the situation surrounding Taiwan and China's unyielding determination to invade and conquer the island to incorporate it into the People's Republic of China. This would bring undoubted US retaliation and defence of Taiwan.
China has of course been building substantial military bases for approximately the past 5 yearsat least on all of the aforementioned islands.
At this point we should state 2 possible scenarios resulting from the upcoming US elections on November 3rd. These scenarios will seriously affect Australia and NZ.
1) Trump is defeated -  Biden, who is fatally compromised by past bribery by the CCP of the Office of the Vice President of the United States while he was in office, would immediately cave to the CCP. This would embolden the CCP and they would consolidate their influence in the Western Pacific by invading Taiwan and making their military installations in the South China Sea virtually impregnable. China's economy would continue to expand and that of the US would resume the decline which Trump stopped. China would then demand that Australia and NZ sign their Belt and Road Initiative - probably on far less favourable terms than might have been the case before. Fancy a Chinese Naval Base at Marsden Point? Air Force base at Whenuapai? This type of thing has already happened in other parts of the world.
Apparently the establishment of the Belt and Road Initiative in NZ in particular is seen as a stepping stone to South America - look out Colombia!! Ambitions for a global empire to be sure. 
2) Trump wins - he would of necessity over the next 4 years hammer China economically in order to drag the US at least partially out of their horrific debt situation; created by previous administrations (particularly by Obama when US debt DOUBLED with nothing to show for it) and now made far worse with the C Virus. The US would also maintain the pressure on China in the W Pacific which would also be in Australia's and NZ's direct best interests. This would cause the Chinese economy to tank and Australia's and NZ's along with it. However, while this would cause a period of economic difficulty - to say the least - there are other markets which must and could be developed. India has a comparable population with China and could replace China as a major trading partner. India hates the Chinese and, although they currently have a protectionist economy, it is likely that they would be open to trade with NZ and Australia in order to assist in containing China. Then there is the rest of SE Asia - Vietnam, etc. And of course after the end of this year, the UK will be keen to establish a FTA and even maybe the EU, which depending on your opinion, may not have much future, unless they can revert to being just a trading bloc as they were in the early 1970's. 
President Donald Trump is the only person in the world right now capable of gradually forcing the PRC back in their hegemonic claims in these areas. For these reasons he MUST win in November. 
There are massive efforts to prevent his re-election and even the Chinese Virus has been politicised in the US against him. But if Trump had not closed the US border to China towards the end of January, the US death count would in all likelihood have been tens of thousands higher. Every country has made mistakes re the C Virus simply because there has never been anything even similar to rely on as a precedent before. Even now there are patterns developing which are concerning, but the Trump Administration is doing its utmost to eventually destroy it. There are even two promising developments as regards a vaccine in the pipeline. The other day Joe Biden ludicrously said that if elected, he "woulda done this and woulda done that". In fact in all the examples he gave, the Trump Administration has already done them - sometime ago. Biden continually presents as a mentally deficient and incompetent presidential candidate. He would be controlled by the far left extremists of the Democrat Party and It would be a disaster if he were to be elected. But in spite of the polls, there does appear - just as in 2016 - to be an extensive undercurrent of support for Trump from people who never divulge their political intentions, and who are in many cases not prepared to take the risk of stating their intentions, because they are worried about possible reprisals. This effective denial of free speech means that the 1st. Amendment to the Constitution is being sabotaged by people whose aim is to destroy the United States by whatever means possible. And this in the first instance means they need to prevent Trump's re-election because he represents the only opposition to their gaining real socialist power through subversion of the Democrat Party which has lurched far to the left.
Racism is a term much bandied about lately, but it should not be forgotten that the Democrats have been the party of racism for a long time. They were the party of the Confederacy which started the Civil War in 1861, they supported slavery, they were the gestation of the Ku Klux Klan. Joe Biden supported racial segregation in the South in the 1960's and opposed the mixed race "bussing" of white and black children to schools. He even feted a segregationist Democrat Senator, Strom Thurmond, who was in office between 1956 and 2003.
And it should also not be forgotten that it was a Democrat President, Andrew Jackson, who in 1830 pushed through the Indian Removal Act which allowed the forced removal and extinguishment of land titles of mainly Cherokee Indians from lands in the South East 1,000 miles to lands west of the Mississippi River in what since became Oklahoma. Other minor tribes were involved and slaves as well. By 1837 some 46,000 Indians plus 4,000 slaves had been forcibly removed from their ancestral homelands. This movement of native people became known as "The Trail of Tears" and it is estimated that a total of 8,000 perished along the way - mostly dying of exposure and starvation.
Those were Democrats for you.        

Another article - this time about Colombia from Colombiareports - August 2016.
"A 200 year history lesson to understand the FARC's conflict with Colombia's state".
"The conflict between the FARC and the Colombian government began in 1964, but political violence closely related to the current conflict began decades earlier.
Colombia has never had much of a stable democracy. In its more than 200 years of existence, the former Spanish colony has had more than a dozen constitutions.
These radical constitutional changes were partly due to a partisan division between Conservatives and Liberals, an ideological rift introduced by Liberator, Simon Bolivar and his second in command, General Francisco de Paula Santander.
Followers of the relatively conservative Bolivar with the support of the Catholic Church founded the Conservative Party in 1848 in response to the foundation of the secular Liberal Party, which was based on the British Enlightenment principles favoured by Santander.
At the time the current Republic of Colombia had not yet been founded.
The two parties were not just ideologically opposed, but were supported by and sometimes catered to distinct economically and politically powerful families.
The current President (in 2016), Juan Manuel Santos, for example, is a descendant of independence fighter Antonia Santos and a grand-nephew of President Eduardo Santos.
Attempts to consolidate political and economic power by these two powerhouses led to several violent confrontations, wars, and periods of political exclusion between the late 19th. century and the 1940's.
The violence with more radically leftist forces did not take place until after World War II, when a populist liberal politician, Jorge Eliecer Gaitan, opposed the Conservative Government and really began moving the masses, threatening the status quo the Liberal Party and Conservative Party had long benefited from.
Gaitan's murder in 1948 sparked a period called "La Violencia", a decade-long brutality in which more than 200,000 Colombians were killed.
The partisan violence ended in 1958 when the Liberal Party and the Conservative Party agreed to divide power, taking turns holding public office and controlling the economy every 4 years. This agreement was called the "National Front".
The less pragmatic, more ideological left wing of the Liberal Party, joined by Communists and influenced by a wave of socialist revolts across the continent, did not accept this National Front.
In the countryside, where inequality was bordering extreme levels, farmers began revolting against the Bogota based political elite.
From this movement sprang the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC), who were initially nothing but a handful of peasants.
In 1964 they declared themselves independent, forming the Republic of Marquetalia in a tiny village on the foot of the Nevada de Huila mountain range.
The guerrilla's first attack took place in 1966.
For decades, the FARC remained active in the countryside and was of relatively little nuisance in the cities as the group lacked financing.
The conflict escalated in the 1980's when several leftist rebel groups became active, drug trafficking revenue was financing weapons across the country, and right-wing self-defence forces began forming to protect private interests from the increasingly powerful and wealthy guerillas.
In hand with the Colombian Communist Party, the strengthened FARC began to have political ambitions at a national level, posing a serious challenge to the political status quo.
In 1985, the Colombian government began peace talks with the different rebel groups and the FARC joined more moderate leftist thought leaders to form a political party, the Patriotic Union.
Rebel groups, M-19 and EPL, decided to demobilise in 1991 after the government agreed to a new constitution.
However, groups like the FARC and ELN did not demobilise and did not agree with the new constitution.
The Patriotic Union - the rebels' attempt to actively participate in politics - faced an extermination campaign by right-wing paramilitary groups and extreme elements within the state, particularly the military.
Additionally the government created bad blood by attacking a FARC compound in the middle of the talks.
In turn, the FARC removed itself from politics and began an impressive territorial expansion, increasingly using the revenue from drug trafficking to fund their military campaign.
The group had also discovered a new form of making money that also served as political intimidation, kidnapping.
However, as the FARC in the mid 90's were approaching the gates of the capital, Bogota from the south, state-aligned paramilitary groups from the northwest and east of Colombia united and formed the AUC and one of the bloodiest decades of the conflict began.
The state forces fighting the guerrillas were now supported by brutal paramilitary forces  that began pushing the guerrillas back south while taking increased control of the drug trafficking trade.
However, in spite of paramilitary pressure in the north, the FARC was able to make major territorial gains in the south of the country and, financed by drug trafficking and "economic retentions", or kidnappings for extortion purposes, the FARC was able to grow stronger, increasing their territorial pressure to the point they were putting up roadblocks outside major cities.
Faced by the increasingly strong guerrilla group and an increasingly weak state, President Andres Pastrana (1998-2002) agreed to peace talks with the guerrlllas in 1999 while obtaining US support for the military defeat of the FARC.
Meanwhile, paramilitary violence surged and groups united in the AUC in 1997 carried out a brutal offensive, breaking victimisation records while the Pastrana Administration was negotiating with the FARC.
The talks failed in 2002, and the military offensive supported by the 1999 Plan Colombia deal came into action.
Following the talks, the Colombian people elected Alvaro Uribe, a hard-liner and Plan Colombia really came to full force.
The Colombian military gained access to arms and intelligence and was also increasingly able to push the FARC deeper into the jungle.
The paramilitary forces demobilised between 2003 and 2006 and the military, now just with US support, since then fought the guerrillas on its own. By 2008, the FARC was at its weakest point and lost its founder, Manuel Marulanda, a.k.a. "Sure Shot".
However, the military successes claimed by the Colombian government of Alvaro Uribe and the US government of George W. Bush came with a major human cost; millions of Colombians were displaced. tens of thousands of civilians were killed or otherwise victimised.
The US began pulling funds following a series of scandals and tens of thousands of human rights abuses and the Colombian Military was left on its own.
Additionally, the weakened FARC switched from the toxic territorial warfare with large armies to traditional guerrilla warfare using tiny units undetectable from the sky and easily hidden among the civilian population.
The conflict appeared to have reached a stalemate as the military's effectiveness dropped, while that of the guerrillas went up.
However, the Colombian government, under the leadership of former President Alvaro Uribe, began approaching the FARC after the demobilisation of the AUC.
These initiatives did not result in either informal or formal talks until current (2016) President Juan Manuel Santos took office in 2010 and, while still at war, began secret peace talks with the FARC in 2011 that resulted in the formal peace talks announced in 2012.
In the second half of 2016 these talks have culminated in a peace deal that will have to be ratified by Colombians, many of whom have not had the fortune to enjoy one day of peace."    

Following from this history of violence and conflict over the last 200 years in Colombia, there is a very disturbing article in Colombia Reports dated 19/07/20 - "9,031,048 conflict victims is enough". "Colombia exceeds 9 million victims as country sinks deeper into armed conflict".    
9 million represents approximately 18% of Colombia's total present population. This has occurred over a period of some years.
"The ongoing killing of demobilised members of the FARC and the AUC, the systematic assassination of Colombia's social leaders and a thriving drug trade are sinking the country back into war.
Only a few FARC guerrillas have forgotten how their 1985 attempt to join politics and the demobilisation of the AUC ended up in mass exterminations and a resurgence of armed conflict.
The ELN has shown no restraint in trying to capitalise on the killing of community leaders and political activists to recruit new members, arguing a peaceful solution to the country's social conflicts are naive.
The numbers don't lie. Since 2016, the year that the FARC signed the peace accord, almost 1,000 social workers have been murdered in cold blood, according to conflict monitor, Indepaz. The FARC's political party recently announced the 219th. assassination of one of their members.
Ethnic minority groups, who have seen so many of their people get killed, claim to be the victims of an extermination campaign.
President Ivan Duque and his far-right political party may be losing electoral force, but the Democratic Centre Party and its leader, former President Alvaro Uribe, are inciting violence more than ever and for good reason.
The demobilisation of the AUC threw many dozens of Uribe's allies in prison. The peace process with the FARC and ongoing criminal investigations into the former president's drug ties and alleged war crimes leave the impression it is going to be their turn to go to jail next.
At the same time, record Cocaine production is providing more revenue than ever to arm illegal armed groups and submit Colombia to the same terror the country suffered in the worst years of the armed conflict.
To make things worse, the COVID-19 pandemic is causing an economic crisis worse than the one in the late 1990's that almost turned the country into a failed state.
Colombia's peace movement which hasn't been able to resume last year's massive anti-government protests because of the pandemic, said last week that "silence is no option anymore" while announcing new forms of protests".

These articles about recent history in Colombia justify the promise that many Colombians and ourselves felt about the future of this wonderful country, with the promise of the end of violent conflict in 2016, together with a resurgent economy. However, with the C Virus exacerbating the results of constant corruption over a long period of time, and the resumption of activities of armed paramilitary units,  we are feeling far less optimistic about the future here. We hope that coming months give us reason to feel differently - we will see. Corruption and increasing narcotics based armed conflict are ruining this otherwise great country. There are so many opportunities, one of which would be for Colombia to at least partially take over the manufacturing activity which will be, and is being right now, taken from China and to supply those goods to North America and all of Latin America, all of which is right on Colombia's doorstep. 
It engenders a great feeling of disappointment that our decision back in 2016 to purchase property and ultimately settle in Colombia may have been somewhat over optimistic. We hope that this feeling is well and truly proved wrong and that we can all continue in the future to enjoy the many attributes of living in Colombia.
The people, the climate, the gardens, the cleanliness of everything, and the cost of living plus enjoying the dynamism of Medellin, are just some of the benefits of life in Colombia, and in Medellin (City of Eternal Spring) in particular.
Before we go we would just like to highlight a conundrum that we are facing re voting in NZ's upcoming parliamentary election in September. In recent times we have voted NZ First because Winston does seem to keep the main parties honest - at least as far as that's possible!! However, we have become aware that National initiated contact with the CCP to explore signing their Belt and Road Initiative back in 2017 when they were still in power. Now, Labour/Greens/NZ First have been furthering negotiations in secret. Even ACT says that it would be in NZ's best interests to further contact with the CCP. Well, that was about a month ago; since then there have been many more developments and one can only hope that they are seeing the error of their ways. But we cannot be sure and, as we consider the CCP issue to be of such importance, we have reluctantly come to the necessary conclusion that we cannot vote for anyone. This will be the first time in our lives that we will have taken that stand, and, whle we don't like not voting, we feel there is no choice. The Chinese issue is just too vital.
We emailed both National and ACT to ascertain their attitudes to China. National did not even give us the courtesy of a reply and ACT appeared to tink that continued contact with the CCP was desirable. On that basis they are both off our Christmas card list!!
With that, we will end this blog and its recording of the huge problems in this dysfunctional world. Problems that will certainly result in unpredictable ending of ways of life that we have known and accepted for all of our lives.
We hope that you are all remaining well and look forward in particular to Trump's success in November and a corresponding reduction - or even extermination - of the Chinese Virus.
Con mucho amor y los mejores deseos para todos nuestros amigos y familias.
Jim and Jean
Medellin
Colombia
Medellin - 25th.July 2020. 
        


   

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Sunday, 14 June 2020

The Chinese Virus and ALL LIVES MATTER!!!!!!! (El Virus Chino y TODAS LAS VIDAS IMPORTAN)

Hola a todos y esperamos que todos se mantengan bien..............
Well, where to start? So much has happened of late.
Once again, we'll start with Jean's health. She is almost back to her previous self, but still has not recovered all the weight she lost. She was 64 kilos and had lost weight to 55kgs, but is now back to around 58, so that's an improvement. She'd like to get back to somewhere around 60 kgs. She still has some digestive issues but mild compared with previous experience. We had almost thought that we could dispense with the oxygen generator and bottles, but lo and behold she has recently been testing her oxygen levels again and they are now down again to the mid eighties. Not so good, so just as well we had at least a third of a bottle left and that did the trick. We also have the oxygen generator and now another full bottle as a backup.   
However, a few days ago she had an appointment with another Gastroenterologist who looked again at the results of an Endoscopy which had been done some weeks ago. We had previously been unable to follow up on that due to the almost complete shutdown of Colombia's medical system  - except for the C Virus!!  After his perusal, he stated that he thought that in the area of her hiatus hernia there was something else which he thought may be the result of an accident she had had many years ago. So, he is organising another Endoscopy to look specifically at that and also a Colonoscopy im case there is anything there to be concerned about.
However, the accident damage is something Jean has been going on about for years - always pointing to the same area where there is some pain and discomfort. This condition had always been brushed aside by doctors in NZ and Malaysia and Thailand in the past. So, at long last she may finally be getting to the bottom of her digestive issues. We haven't got a date yet for the exams, and given the continuing (although improving) chaotic state of Colombia's healthcare system - all due to the C Virus - it may be a little time more, but at least we feel there is progress. Once again Clara was a great help; she went with Jean to the specialist  appointment in case the specialist did not speak English, and that turned out to be the case.  
Since then she has been testing her stomach acid levels with a Bicarbonate of Soda test that was recommended by another doctor with whom our lawyer and friend, Astrid, obtained an appointment. So far that seems to be conclusively showing that her stomach acid is LOW. Usually people have the opposite problem. Jean had been doing this test herself previously, and the current testing confirms that diagnosis.
The other issue of some concern is that her blood oxygen level seems to be declining again to the high 80's, and it is quite difficult to raise it back to a "normal" level of around 94%SpO2. We can only hope that future medical consultations and the results of exams will throw some more light on the situation.
And it never rains but it pours! Jean has just diagnosed a (fortunately) mild case of Shingles which is another virus - usually brought about when one's system is brought to a low ebb by other illness.
Life here in Medellin continues to carry on. We are now allowed to go shopping every other day based on the last digit of our personal ID's  But to all intents and purposes that means every day because we have alternate numbers. But it does make things awkward if we need the 2 of us to make a decision whether to buy a major item. For example we have recently purchased an exercycle, but the sports shop (Decathlon) did eventually allow both of us in! Most retail businesses are now open as are construction sites, but restaurants and cafes can only deliver - either from their own premises or by motorcycle courier. However, these are inconveniences which we must just put up with. It is now illegal to be outside our building without wearing a mask. Nonsense really because just being in the street means that for 99% of the time one is always at least 2 metres from anyone else. And it is proven that the C Virus only survives for a maximum of 30 seconds out in the fresh air and sunlight. Our swimming pool and gym remain closed in spite of strenuous objections on our part together with a suggestion of a restrictive booking system but all that falls on deaf and ignorant ears. Most shops test for body temperature (another useless test) before allowing entry and of course they check the ID number. Smaller shops will only allow 1 or 2 people in at once. Some ask for cellphone numbers as well. Bureaucracy gone mad, and we still at over 70 are not supposed to be out and about at all!! 
We are still in partial lockdown until June 30th. and after that who knows? Medellin's health system is said to be the best in the entirety of Latin America, so we are not experiencing anything out of control as is the case in many other areas of Colombia due to mismanagement and rampant corruption. In some of  these poorer areas hospitals (such as they are), and the medical system generally, have just been abandoned. Starvation is a major factor in these areas as well. We are constantly reading articles which make us feel so sorry for the poor (mostly indigenous) people who live there. These areas include a part of the southern border with Ecuador, the entire Pacific coast, parts of the Caribbean coast and the Amazonas Province which is an ecological gem and which holds Colombia's tropical Amazon areas which border Brazil and Peru. And we all know what's been happening in Brazil.The worry also is that if the government does not effectively control the C Virus in those areas, Colombia could be months more before coming out of total restrictions.
International air travel remains closed until August 31st., but limited internal air travel is gradually being re-started from next month. However, not to all destinations, including probably the capital, Bogota, as they have a far higher rate of infection than Medellin. The Mayor of Bogota has a history of open defiance of President Duque and his largely ignorant decrees - mainly because she wants to protect the citizens of her city, regardless of the government just trying to pretend that the C Virus doesn't exist. Whether the complete lockdown of a city at this stage is problematic considering the economic damage that is being done, but Bogota is on its own in making decisions that they can only hope are for the ultimate best.
At least we haven't had any "black lives matter" protests here - unlike NZ, Australia, the UK, other countries and of course the US.
Although, like everyone, we absolutely abhor and are disgusted by the murder of the young black man by Minneapolis Police.This was much more than senseless; it was cold-blooded murder which the main participant appeared to be actually enjoying. There are no doubt similarly minded individuals everywhere in the world and through vigilance they must be systematically rooted out, but not by ridiculous "defunding police" notions and allowing violent protesters to occupy and vandalise large parts of cities. Now there has been another shooting of a black man in Atlanta, but it appears that in a scuffle he had stolen a police taser and was threatening officers with it when he was shot. But none of it helps the overall situation. And what about the 20 police officers killed recently and the over 700 wounded and hospitalised. Does anyone care about them?
At this stage we should indulge in a little history.
In 1861 there was the Civil War, instigated in large part by the Republican North insisting on Emancipation of Slaves and Slavery. The South (largely Democrat) resisted violently, 13 states seceded from the Union, and so the Civil War began. The Republicans prevailed after a bitter 3 year struggle in which the equivalent in today's terms of 8 million lost their lives. The Republicans then lost no time in bringing the Slavery Emancipation into law in 1863. Since then the Democrats have been the party of repression and segregation of the black people. The Ku Klux Klan (KKK) was a creation of theirs and all of this had to be legally battled by the Republicans through many legislative acts over many years to achieve the equality that exists today. Joe Biden along with his Democrat cronies did virtually nothing to advance the interests of the black minority during his whole time (40 years) as a Senator. Trump on the other hand has vastly improved the black economy. Mainly through the creation of jobs so that pre C Virus, black unemployment was at its lowest level EVER. Donald Trump reformed the Criminal Justice legislation which largely dealt with a series of gross injustices perpetrated by Joe Biden and the Democrats. The Democrats are gross hypocrites and no friends to the black minority. It is our fervent hope that, for these reasons as well as many others we haven't room to mention here, the Democrats are never elected to power.
We think that this obvious Democrat driven dogma of defunding the police and allowing violent Antifa activists to run riot and occupy areas of cities - particularly Seattle -  will only benefit Trump's re-election. Citizens will not accept the threat of violence in areas where they might live and it will do the Democrat campaign much harm. But Trump does need to take decisive action; as he said about Seattle, "if you won't do it, we'll do it for you" - meaning of course the National Guard. The deranged, delusional and in denial Governor of Washington State and the Mayor of Seattle have refused to seek help in an effort to frustrate the President's desire and ability to assist in regaining order and in the process they harm their own people in order to damage Trump's re-election prospects - as THEY see it. And what's happening in NewYork City? Last we heard, approximately one mile of the iconic 5th. Avenue was badly damaged and simply boarded up. An interesting point here is - who is going to foot the bill for all this damage which will run to the billions of dollars? Most insurance policies specifically exclude damage caused by riots and war.  
It really is becoming more and more obvious that these protests and arsons are professionally driven and funded. We think that it goes back to the Communist Party of China and their acolytes in the US and elsewhere. We, and most of the free world are, make no mistake, AT WAR with the CCP and their willing accomplices. 
Now we have the MOST RACIST SLOGAN THAT YOU COULD IMAGINE - "black lives matter". What's this - are they saying that other lives don't matter?? And so many local and national governments appear to have rolled over with their legs in the air playing "dead flies", and seemingly without question accepting this disgusting slogan. That is why we, and thankfully an increasing number of other commentators, are saying that the slogan should be as per the heading to this blog -  ALL LIVES MATTER. Most of us profess to be Christians of one stripe or another and to varying degrees, but the one principle which we and all other people should hold dear is just that - ALL LIVES MATTER. This in no way denigrates black or any other coloured lives as has been claimed. Let's finally get back to normal, decent values which should drive everyday life. Enough of this CCP/Antifa driven dangerous rubbish which is aimed squarely at the survival of society as we know it. 
It is now generally accepted that the C Virus was active in China perhaps as early as July 2019 - or even earlier. The CCP dissembled with and covered up this dangerous situation and simply allowed and encouraged it to proliferate world-wide. This would have affected many completely unwitting people and we were in Florida, USA in November/December 2019. It is extremely difficult to escape the conclusion that the CCP engaged in a deliberate attempt to infect as much as possible the rest of the world, all the time maintaining the murderous fiction that there was no danger as there was no human to human transmission. COMPLETE AND DELIBERATE LIES. 
Now for some conspiracy and coincidence (?) - courtesy of Jean's co-parent-in-law, Lorraine:
"WELL, WELL, WELL!! isn't it just an interesting coincidence that Remdesivir is made by Gilead and is the cure for Covid-19. And here's where it gets interesting. China holds the patent on the drug through an agreement with Gilead's drug patent-sharing subsidiary branch called Unitaid. They have an office near Wuhan. And you'll never guess who are the main financial investors in Unitaid. None other than George Soros, Bill and Melinda Gates and the WHO. I know what you're thinking. It's just all a coincidence, isn't it. Oh, don't let me forget the other coincidence. Gilead and Unitaid were financial supporters of Hillary Clinton. Oh silly me, I forgot. One more coincidence. Fauci was the one authorising millions to be sent to the Wuhan Institute of Virology, specifically for the study of Coronaviruses. I sure am thankful that these are just coincidences. Nothing to see here; just keep moving along. The best coincidences are always found when you follow the money. Do your research."  
Finally, we cannot end this without recognising the NZ Prime Minister, Jacinda Ardern, and her government's remarkable achievement in becoming Covid 19 free. But, how fragile is that achievement and we have to say, at what cost? Tourism, which is NZ's biggest foreign exchange earner, is decimated. The border remains closed and Air NZ, if it wasn't for a massive financial contribution from its 51% shareholder, the NZ taxpayer, would have declared bankruptcy. Businesses and people out of work have been given huge government subsidies, but it is estimated that in a few months in spite of all that, nearly 7,000 businesses will fold for good. The financial consequences of the draconian lockdown will be unprecedented and many people will remain unemployed for a long time to come. China supplies most of NZ's tourists and when will they be allowed back in? Not for a very long time would be our hope and prediction, so where are the replacement tourists going to come from?
China has directly and deliberately caused human life loss and financial loss on an unprecedented scale and absolutely MUST be held accountable. From what we hear there is a growing and very angry groundswell of opinion around the world for this to happen. But what happens to NZ and any other country that has in the recent past firmly nailed their colours to the China Trade mast? It might take a few months yet, but it certainly won't be pretty.
A frivolous and unimportant development in this bizarre situation. Jim has discovered a new way to enjoy his nightly whiskies. Green limes (Tahiti Limon) are grown and sold prolifically in Colombia. And very cheap. Jim cuts 3 slices into quarters and puts them in the bottom of the glass. Then plenty of ice and then the Scotch (definitely not with a good malt!) and finally topped up with water. A lovely long and refreshing drink. And a 700 ml bottle of Black and White here is currently 42,000 pesos - that's NZD17.50.
At this stage he is tempted to follow this little anecdote up with a relevant family historical one. 
Sometime in the late 1800's, Jim's great grandfather, A.B. Donald, was an up and coming fellow trading with a motley fleet of small trading ships in the Society Islands (French Polynesia) as well as in the Cooks. He heard that there had been a crop failure of limes in the Caribbean which was serious as the Royal Navy depended on these for anti - scourboutic purposes - the control of Scurvy. These limes grew in abundance in Tahiti (hence the current name) and so he set about buying as many as he could lay his hands upon. In the process he became known locally as "Taporo Tane" - Tahitian for Lime Man. He sold these to the RN and apparently made a killing! Since then the businesses in French Polynesia and the Cook Islands grew to include trading in Copra (dried coconut meat), Mother of Pearl (MOP) Shell, uncultivated pearls, fruits for the NZ market and the establishment of substantial retail operations which also included motor vehicle agencies - Renault and BMC to name a few. Sadly it suffered the fate of many multi generation family businesses, and so in the early 1970's the island trading businesses and in NZ the wholesale fruit and vegetable auctioneering operations (principal competition to Turners and Growers - now themselves owned by a German company!), and motor vehicle agencies were sadly also sold. Definitely the end of an era.
The110 foot wooden island trading schooner "Tiare Taporo" - there is a scale fully planked model of her in the Auckland Maritime Museum -  was built in 1913 for ABD's island trading business and herself had become an iconic vessel - the last of her type - trading in the Pacific for the next 50 years - much of the time under the legendary command of an American from Brooklyn, New York - Capt.Andy Thomson. Jim knew Andy well and during a period of 6 months when he was living and working in Rarotonga in 1968 at the tender age of 21 used to visit Andy at his little house at Arorangi on Sunday afternoons when invariably a new whisky bottle would be produced and the cork discarded in the garden! Fortunately it wasn't expected that Jim would need to do his 50% share of consuming the contents!! Not at the tender age of 21!!
Then in 2008 after Jim had bought the NZ built wooden 12 ton Gauntlet yacht, then named "Reflections of Wellington", and during an extensive refit in Whangarei, NZ, he decided to re-name her "Tiare Taporo III" after the old ship, which herself had been sold in 1964. Very sadly she was subsequently wrecked in Vanuatu while in the new ownership. TT3, as she became known to fellow cruisers, took Jim and Jean from NZ in 2011 to New Caledonia and then to Bundaberg in Australia. We sailed her north to Cairns where we spent 9 months before continuing to Darwin in the Northern Territory. Then in 2013 we sailed her to Kupang in Indonesian Timor, then through Indonesia arriving in Johor, Malaysia. The following year we sailed up the west coast of Peninsula Malaysia to Langkawi Island and then to Krabi in Thailand where we hauled out for some much needed maintenance.
If you are interested in reading in detail about our voyaging, you could always consult our website - www.tiaretaporo3.blogspot.com  
Well, that's really it; life has been quite boring of late. We can only hope that the whole nasty business ends really soon and that we all stay well.
With lotsaluv and every best wish and fair winds from us in Medellin, Colombia.......................
Jim and Jean



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